Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca Liga MX game on September 10, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
2
:
2
Sep 11, 2:05AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Sep 11, 2:05AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
J. Meneses (65')
J. Meneses (77')
J. Dinenno (36')
J. Gonzalez (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
UNAM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Rodriguez replaces J. Meneses
90'
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by J. Gonzalez, assisted by Dani Alves
2-2
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Torres replaces F. Navarro
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: D. Alvarez replaces C. Sanvezzo
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. A. Rodriguez Hernandez replaces C. Guzman
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Sierra replaces L. Fernandez
83'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: J. Ruvalcaba replaces C. S. Huerta Valera
83'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: G. Del Prete replaces P. Bennevendo
77'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Meneses
1-2
76'
Yellow Card
A. Ortiz (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
71'
Yellow Card
Dani Alves (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
71'
Yellow Card
J. Caicedo (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: D. de Oliveira Barbosa replaces E. Salvio
69'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: M. Garcia replaces L. Lopez
65'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Meneses, assisted by L. Fernandez
1-1
36'
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by J. Dinenno, assisted by C. S. Huerta Valera
1-0
35'
Yellow Card
C. Guzman (Toluca) cautioned
19'
Yellow Card
L. Lopez (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
18'
Yellow Card
L. Fernandez (Toluca) cautioned

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Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca
  • Date: Saturday, September 10, 2022
  • Time: 10:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Pumas UNAM +190, Toluca +140, Draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-141/+120)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 31.1%
  • Toluca: 45.2%
  • Draw: 23.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Pumas UNAM 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 45.2%, while Pumas UNAM has a win probability of 31.1%. The chance of a draw is 23.7%.

Summary

Our Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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