Real Madrid vs. Valencia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Real Madrid vs. Valencia La Liga game on April 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Valencia
2
1
Apr 5, 2:15PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Real Madrid
Apr 5, 2:15PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Real MadridRMA
Score Summary
ValenciaVCF
Vinicius Junior (50')
M. Diakhaby (15')
H. Duro (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RMA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
VCF
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityValenciaReal MadridDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityValenciaReal MadridHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: H. Guillamon replaces E. Barrenechea
90'
Goal scored for Valencia by H. Duro, assisted by R. Mir
2-1
90'
Yellow Card
M. Aarons (Valencia) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Guler replaces Lucas
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Endrick replaces L. Modric
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Alaba replaces Vinicius Junior
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces F. Garcia
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: Pepelu replaces J. Guerra
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: F. Perez replaces A. Almeida
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: H. Duro replaces M. Aarons
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: R. Mir replaces U. Sadiq
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Rodrygo replaces B. Diaz
50'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by J. Bellingham
1-1
46'
Yellow Card
U. Sadiq (Valencia) cautioned
22'
Yellow Card
C. Ancelotti (Real Madrid) cautioned
21'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
15'
Goal scored for Valencia by M. Diakhaby, assisted by A. Almeida
1-0
13'
Penalty missed by Vinicius Junior for Real Madrid
10'
Yellow Card
C. Tarrega (Valencia) cautioned

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Real Madrid vs. Valencia: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Real Madrid vs. Valencia
  • Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Santiago BernabĂ©u

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Real Madrid -325, Valencia +1000, Draw +500

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Real Madrid: 68.9%
  • Valencia: 13.2%
  • Draw: 17.9%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Real Madrid 2-0 Valencia, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Real Madrid a win probability of 68.9%, while Valencia has a win probability of 13.2%. The chance of a draw is 17.9%.

Summary

Our Real Madrid vs. Valencia predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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