Alaves vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Rayo Vallecano La Liga game on March 29, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
Rayo Vallecano
2
0
Mar 29, 5:30PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
Mar 29, 5:30PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Rayo VallecanoRVC
P. Ciss (2')
P. Diaz (58')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
RVC
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityRayo VallecanoAlavesDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityRayo VallecanoAlavesHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Palazon replaces U. Lopez
80'
Yellow Card
N. Tenaglia (Alaves) cautioned
78'
Yellow Card
S. Mourino (Alaves) cautioned
78'
Yellow Card
A. Hernandez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: T. Conechny replaces Joan Jordan
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Balliu replaces J. de Frutos
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: A. Embarba replaces A. Garcia
62'
Yellow Card
A. Batalla (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: T. Martinez replaces J. Guridi
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Martin replaces C. Alena
58'
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by P. Diaz
2-0
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Diaz replaces O. Trejo
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha replaces R. Nteka
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces P. Cabanes
42'
Yellow Card
O. Valentin (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
R. Nteka (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
16'
Yellow Card
P. Cabanes (Alaves) cautioned
14'
Penalty missed by Joan Jordan for Alaves
8'
Yellow Card
P. Fernandez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
2'
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by P. Ciss, assisted by U. Lopez
1-0

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Alaves vs. Rayo Vallecano: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Rayo Vallecano
  • Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025
  • Time: 1:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Alaves +115, Rayo Vallecano +310, Draw +195

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Alaves: 43.9%
  • Rayo Vallecano: 27.7%
  • Draw: 28.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Alaves 1-0 Rayo Vallecano, which has a correct score probability of 14%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Alaves a win probability of 43.9%, while Rayo Vallecano has a win probability of 27.7%. The chance of a draw is 28.5%.

Summary

Our Alaves vs. Rayo Vallecano predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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