Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona La Liga game on March 16, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Barcelona
4
2
Mar 16, 8PM Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid)
Atletico Madrid
Mar 16, 8PM Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
BarcelonaFCB
J. Alvarez (45')
A. Sorloth (70')
R. Lewandowski (72')
F. Torres (78')
L. Yamal (90')
F. Torres (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
FCB
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityBarcelonaAtletico MadridDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityBarcelonaAtletico MadridHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Barcelona by L. Yamal, assisted by Pedri
3-2
90'
Yellow Card
L. Yamal (Barcelona) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: Gavi replaces Pedri
90'
Goal scored for Barcelona by F. Torres
4-2
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Riquelme replaces A. Griezmann
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: R. Araujo replaces J. Kounde
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: G. Martin replaces A. Balde
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. M. Gimenez replaces G. Simeone
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces R. de Paul
78'
Goal scored for Barcelona by F. Torres, assisted by Raphinha
2-2
72'
Goal scored for Barcelona by R. Lewandowski, assisted by I. Martinez
1-2
70'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Sorloth, assisted by C. Gallagher
0-2
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: F. Torres replaces D. Olmo
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: E. Garcia replaces M. Casado
64'
Yellow Card
A. Balde (Barcelona) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Gallagher replaces S. Lino
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Sorloth replaces J. Alvarez
45'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by J. Alvarez, assisted by G. Simeone
0-1
36'
Yellow Card
R. Mandava (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
26'
Yellow Card
J. Kounde (Barcelona) cautioned

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Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona
  • Date: Sunday, March 16, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Atletico Madrid +215, Barcelona +120, Draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-161/+140)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 33.3%
  • Barcelona: 42.0%
  • Draw: 24.8%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Atletico Madrid 1-1 Barcelona, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Atletico Madrid a win probability of 33.3%, while Barcelona has a win probability of 42.0%. The chance of a draw is 24.8%.

Summary

Our Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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