Alaves vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Villareal La Liga game on March 8, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
Villareal
0
1
Mar 8, 3:15PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
Mar 8, 3:15PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
M. Sanchez (11')
A. Sivera (58')
A. Blanco (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityVillarealAlavesDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityVillarealAlavesHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
M. Diarra (Alaves) cautioned
90'
Red Card
A. Blanco (Alaves) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: T. Buchanan replaces W. Kambwala
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: D. Suarez replaces A. Baena
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Villalibre replaces K. Garcia
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: M. Diarra replaces M. Sanchez
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: S. Comesana replaces Y. Pino
77'
Yellow Card
A. Blanco (Alaves) cautioned
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: T. Barry replaces P. Gueye
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: A. Pedraza replaces S. Cardona
70'
Yellow Card
Y. Pino (Villarreal) cautioned
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces Joan Jordan
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: F. Garces replaces C. Martin
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rodriguez replaces P. Cabanes
58'
Red Card
A. Sivera (Alaves) sent off with a straight red card
11'
Goal scored for Alaves by M. Sanchez
0-1

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Alaves vs. Villareal: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Villareal
  • Date: Saturday, March 8, 2025
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Alaves +215, Villareal +155, Draw +210
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+120/-145)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Alaves: 33.5%
  • Villareal: 40.0%
  • Draw: 26.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Alaves 1-1 Villareal, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Alaves a win probability of 33.5%, while Villareal has a win probability of 40.0%. The chance of a draw is 26.5%.

Summary

Our Alaves vs. Villareal predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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