Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga game on April 21, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
0
2
Apr 21, 4:30PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
Apr 21, 4:30PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
C. Benavidez (15')
L. Rioja (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Alaves by L. Rioja, assisted by C. Vicente
0-2
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: L. Rioja replaces A. Gorosabel
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Raihani replaces S. Savic
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Hermoso replaces N. Molina
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: J. Panichelli replaces K. Garcia
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces G. Simeone
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces J. Guridi
68'
Yellow Card
R. Marin (Alaves) cautioned
68'
Yellow Card
S. Savic (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Riquelme replaces P. Barrios
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Mandava replaces C. Azpilicueta
50'
Yellow Card
C. Azpilicueta (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
49'
Yellow Card
C. Benavidez (Alaves) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: S. Niguez replaces R. de Paul
45'
Yellow Card
A. Correa (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
33'
Yellow Card
A. Abqar (Alaves) cautioned
15'
Goal scored for Alaves by C. Benavidez, assisted by K. Garcia
0-1
6'
Yellow Card
J. Lopez (Alaves) cautioned
2'
Yellow Card
J. Guridi (Alaves) cautioned

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Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, April 21, 2024
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Alaves +390, Atletico Madrid -120, Draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+130/-160)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Alaves: 22.5%
  • Atletico Madrid: 51.8%
  • Draw: 25.8%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Alaves 0-1 Atletico Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Alaves a win probability of 22.5%, while Atletico Madrid has a win probability of 51.8%. The chance of a draw is 25.8%.

Summary

Our Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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