Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona La Liga game on March 17, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Barcelona
3
0
Mar 17, 8PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
Atletico Madrid
Mar 17, 8PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
BarcelonaFCB
N. Molina (90')
Joao Felix (38')
Xavi (42')
R. Lewandowski (47')
F. Lopez (65')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
FCB
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Red Card
N. Molina (Atl. Madrid) sent off with a straight red card
89'
Yellow Card
P. Barrios (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: M. Casado replaces H. Fort
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: I. Martinez replaces F. Lopez
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: Vitor Roque replaces Joao Felix
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: O. Romeu replaces S. Roberto
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: S. Niguez replaces R. de Paul
65'
Goal scored for Barcelona by F. Lopez, assisted by R. Lewandowski
3-0
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: L. Yamal replaces Raphinha
61'
Yellow Card
S. Savic (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Koke replaces M. Llorente
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Correa replaces R. Riquelme
47'
Goal scored for Barcelona by R. Lewandowski, assisted by Raphinha
2-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Griezmann replaces S. Lino
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Depay replaces A. Morata
46'
Yellow Card
R. de Paul (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
42'
Red Card
Xavi (Barcelona) sent off with a straight red card
41'
Yellow Card
Xavi (Barcelona) cautioned
38'
Goal scored for Barcelona by Joao Felix, assisted by R. Lewandowski
1-0
33'
Yellow Card
J. Kounde (Barcelona) cautioned

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Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona
  • Date: Sunday, March 17, 2024
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Atletico Madrid +120, Barcelona +210, Draw +265
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-138/+114)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 42.0%
  • Barcelona: 32.8%
  • Draw: 25.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Atletico Madrid 1-1 Barcelona, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Atletico Madrid a win probability of 42.0%, while Barcelona has a win probability of 32.8%. The chance of a draw is 25.3%.

Summary

Our Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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