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Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga game on February 4, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
1
:
1
Feb 4, 8PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Real Madrid
Feb 4, 8PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Real MadridRMA
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
B. Diaz (20')
M. Llorente (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RMA
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ATM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by M. Llorente, assisted by M. Depay
1-1
90'
Yellow Card
M. Depay (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Ceballos replaces J. Bellingham
85'
Yellow Card
P. Barrios (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
82'
Yellow Card
Koke (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: L. Modric replaces Rodrygo
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Joselu replaces B. Diaz
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Correa replaces Koke
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Depay replaces A. Morata
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: S. Lino replaces S. Niguez
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: P. Barrios replaces R. de Paul
48'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces R. Riquelme
38'
Yellow Card
M. Hermoso (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
37'
Yellow Card
S. Niguez (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
20'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by B. Diaz
0-1
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Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, February 4, 2024
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Santiago BernabĂ©u

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Real Madrid -145, Atletico Madrid +400, Draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-166/+136)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Real Madrid: 53.6%
  • Atletico Madrid: 23.5%
  • Draw: 22.9%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Real Madrid a win probability of 53.6%, while Atletico Madrid has a win probability of 23.5%. The chance of a draw is 22.9%.

Summary

Our Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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