Alaves vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Real Madrid La Liga game on December 21, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
1
0
Dec 21, 8:30PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
Dec 21, 8:30PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
N. Fernandez (54')
Lucas (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
RMA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
N. Tenaglia (Alaves) cautioned
90'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Lucas, assisted by T. Kroos
1-0
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Ceballos replaces Rodrygo
85'
Yellow Card
J. Bellingham (Real Madrid) cautioned
83'
Yellow Card
A. Guevara (Alaves) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: N. Tenaglia replaces A. Gorosabel
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: K. Garcia replaces S. Omorodion
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Joselu replaces B. Diaz
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Sola replaces A. Rebbach
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: J. Lopez replaces R. Duarte
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: I. Hagi replaces J. Guridi
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Tchouameni replaces L. Modric
54'
Red Card
N. Fernandez (Real Madrid) sent off with a straight red card
45'
Yellow Card
R. Duarte (Alaves) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
C. Ancelotti (Real Madrid) cautioned

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Alaves vs. Real Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Thursday, December 21, 2023
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Alaves +500, Real Madrid -175, Draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-118/-104)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Alaves: 18.8%
  • Real Madrid: 58.7%
  • Draw: 22.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Alaves 0-1 Real Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Alaves a win probability of 18.8%, while Real Madrid has a win probability of 58.7%. The chance of a draw is 22.5%.

Summary

Our Alaves vs. Real Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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