Real Madrid vs. Valencia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Real Madrid vs. Valencia La Liga game on November 11, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Valencia
1
5
Nov 11, 8PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Real Madrid
Nov 11, 8PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Real MadridRMA
Score Summary
ValenciaVCF
D. Carvajal (3')
Vinicius Junior (42')
Vinicius Junior (49')
Rodrygo (50')
Rodrygo (84')
H. Duro (88')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RMA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VCF
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Goal scored for Valencia by H. Duro, assisted by H. Gonzalez
1-5
84'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Rodrygo, assisted by F. Garcia
0-5
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Joselu replaces Vinicius Junior
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: N. Paz replaces D. Carvajal
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Lucas replaces B. Diaz
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Garcia replaces F. Mendy
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: H. Gonzalez replaces F. Perez
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: R. Yaremchuk replaces Pepelu
67'
Yellow Card
Gabriel Paulista (Valencia) cautioned
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: H. Guillamon replaces S. Canos
62'
Yellow Card
E. Camavinga (Real Madrid) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: L. Modric replaces F. Valverde
56'
Yellow Card
D. Foulquier (Valencia) cautioned
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: D. Foulquier replaces T. Correia
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: Y. Gasiorowski replaces J. Gaya
50'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Rodrygo
0-4
49'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by Rodrygo
0-3
42'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by Rodrygo
0-2
34'
Yellow Card
Pepelu (Valencia) cautioned
3'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by D. Carvajal, assisted by T. Kroos
0-1

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Real Madrid vs. Valencia: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Real Madrid vs. Valencia
  • Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Santiago BernabĂ©u

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Real Madrid -300, Valencia +800, Draw +475
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-175/+140)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Real Madrid: 65.3%
  • Valencia: 14.6%
  • Draw: 20.1%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Real Madrid 2-0 Valencia, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Real Madrid a win probability of 65.3%, while Valencia has a win probability of 14.6%. The chance of a draw is 20.1%.

Summary

Our Real Madrid vs. Valencia predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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