Villareal vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Villareal vs. Alaves La Liga game on October 22, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Alaves
1
:
1
Oct 22, 4:30PM Estadio de la CerĂ¡mica (Villarreal)
Villareal
Oct 22, 4:30PM Estadio de la CerĂ¡mica (Villarreal)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
VillarealVIL
Score Summary
AlavesALA
G. Moreno (pen.) (65')
Samu (48')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ALA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: R. Marin replaces A. Guevara
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces L. Rioja
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: X. Alkain replaces A. Gorosabel
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: K. Garcia replaces Samu
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: B. Brereton Diaz replaces D. Parejo
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: N. Tenaglia replaces A. Sola
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: R. Terrats replaces Kiko
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: I. Akhomach replaces S. Comesana
71'
Yellow Card
J. Cuenca (Villarreal) cautioned
65'
Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Moreno (pen.)
1-1
58'
Yellow Card
S. Comesana (Villarreal) cautioned
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: A. Altimira replaces A. Mandi
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: A. Moreno replaces A. Pedraza
48'
Goal scored for Alaves by Samu, assisted by J. Guridi
1-0
36'
Yellow Card
A. Abqar (Alaves) cautioned
35'
Yellow Card
Kiko (Villarreal) cautioned
33'
Yellow Card
A. Sivera (Alaves) cautioned
23'
Yellow Card
A. Sorloth (Villarreal) cautioned
14'
Yellow Card
A. Guevara (Alaves) cautioned
9'
Yellow Card
A. Pedraza (Villarreal) cautioned

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Villareal vs. Alaves: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Villareal vs. Alaves
  • Date: Sunday, October 22, 2023
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de la CerĂ¡mica

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Villareal -110, Alaves +300, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-104/-118)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Villareal: 49.7%
  • Alaves: 25.1%
  • Draw: 25.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Villareal 1-1 Alaves, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Villareal a win probability of 49.7%, while Alaves has a win probability of 25.1%. The chance of a draw is 25.2%.

Summary

Our Villareal vs. Alaves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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