Real Madrid vs. Barcelona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Real Madrid vs. Barcelona La Liga game on October 16, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Barcelona
1
3
Oct 16, 2:15PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Real Madrid
Oct 16, 2:15PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Real MadridRMA
Score Summary
BarcelonaFCB
K. Benzema (12')
F. Valverde (35')
Rodrygo (pen.) (90')
F. Torres (83')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RMA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
FCB
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Rodrygo (pen.)
1-3
90'
Yellow Card
F. Kessie (Barcelona) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Rudiger replaces D. Carvajal
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: M. Asensio replaces K. Benzema
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Rodrygo replaces Vinicius Junior
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: F. Kessie replaces Pedri
83'
Goal scored for Barcelona by F. Torres, assisted by R. Lewandowski
1-2
81'
Yellow Card
Gavi (Barcelona) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces L. Modric
75'
Yellow Card
L. Modric (Real Madrid) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: A. Fati replaces O. Dembele
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: F. Torres replaces Raphinha
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: J. Alba replaces A. Balde
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: Gavi replaces S. Busquets
35'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by F. Valverde, assisted by F. Mendy
0-2
30'
Yellow Card
Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) cautioned
12'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Benzema
0-1

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Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Real Madrid vs. Barcelona
  • Date: Sunday, October 16, 2022
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Santiago BernabĂ©u

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Real Madrid +128, Barcelona +195, Draw +270

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Real Madrid: 42.6%
  • Barcelona: 33.5%
  • Draw: 23.9%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Real Madrid 1-1 Barcelona, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Real Madrid a win probability of 42.6%, while Barcelona has a win probability of 33.5%. The chance of a draw is 23.9%.

Summary

Our Real Madrid vs. Barcelona predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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