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Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid La Liga game on September 18, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
2
1
Sep 18, 7PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
Atletico Madrid
Sep 18, 7PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
M. Hermoso (83')
M. Hermoso (90')
Rodrygo (18')
F. Valverde (36')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
RMA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Red Card
M. Hermoso (Atl. Madrid) sent off for a second yellow card
89'
Yellow Card
D. Carvajal (Real Madrid) cautioned
89'
Yellow Card
M. Hermoso (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Ceballos replaces Rodrygo
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: M. Asensio replaces T. Kroos
83'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by M. Hermoso
2-1
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces L. Modric
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: S. Niguez replaces G. Kondogbia
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Rudiger replaces F. Mendy
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Correa replaces Koke
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Hermoso replaces Y. Carrasco
63'
Yellow Card
Koke (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Morata replaces R. de Paul
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Matheus Cunha replaces Joao Felix
36'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by F. Valverde
2-0
33'
Yellow Card
F. Mendy (Real Madrid) cautioned
28'
Yellow Card
R. Mandava (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
18'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Rodrygo, assisted by A. Tchouameni
1-0
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Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, September 18, 2022
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Atletico Madrid +220, Real Madrid +140, Draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+127/-148)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 33.7%
  • Real Madrid: 38.7%
  • Draw: 27.6%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Atletico Madrid a win probability of 33.7%, while Real Madrid has a win probability of 38.7%. The chance of a draw is 27.6%.

Summary

Our Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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