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Valladolid vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Valladolid vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga game on April 30, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
5
2
Apr 30, 7PM Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla (Valladolid)
Valladolid
Apr 30, 7PM Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla (Valladolid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ValladolidVLL
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
C. Larin (pen.) (42')
S. Escudero (74')
N. Molina (20')
J. M. Gimenez (24')
A. Morata (38')
J. Fernandez (o.g.) (86')
M. Depay (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VLL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATM
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by M. Depay, assisted by R. de Paul
5-2
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Valladolid: O. Plano replaces M. Hongla
86'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by J. Fernandez (o.g.)
4-2
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Depay replaces Y. Carrasco
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: S. Niguez replaces Koke
74'
Goal scored for Valladolid by S. Escudero, assisted by Monchu
3-2
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Valladolid: S. Leon replaces G. Plata
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: G. Kondogbia replaces T. Lemar
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Correa replaces A. Morata
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Valladolid: S. Escudero replaces I. Fresneda
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Valladolid: I. Sanchez replaces K. Perez
44'
Yellow Card
K. Perez (Valladolid) cautioned
42'
Goal scored for Valladolid by C. Larin (pen.)
3-1
40'
Yellow Card
M. Hermoso (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
38'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Morata, assisted by A. Griezmann
3-0
24'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by J. M. Gimenez, assisted by A. Griezmann
2-0
20'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by N. Molina, assisted by J. M. Gimenez
1-0
9'
Yellow Card
Monchu (Valladolid) cautioned
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Valladolid vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Valladolid vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, April 30, 2023
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Valladolid +450, Atletico Madrid -155, Draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-125/+100)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Valladolid: 20.3%
  • Atletico Madrid: 56.1%
  • Draw: 23.6%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Valladolid 0-1 Atletico Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Valladolid a win probability of 20.3%, while Atletico Madrid has a win probability of 56.1%. The chance of a draw is 23.6%.

Summary

Our Valladolid vs. Atletico Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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