Atletico Madrid vs. Sevilla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Sevilla La Liga game on March 4, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Sevilla
1
6
Mar 4, 8PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
Atletico Madrid
Mar 4, 8PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
SevillaSEV
M. Depay (23')
M. Depay (26')
A. Griezmann (53')
Y. Carrasco (69')
A. Morata (76')
A. Morata (90')
Y. En Nesyri (39')
P. Gueye (81')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SEV
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Morata
1-6
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Martin replaces Y. Carrasco
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: J. Navas replaces G. Montiel
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: R. Mir replaces L. Ocampos
81'
Red Card
P. Gueye (Sevilla) sent off for a second yellow card
81'
Yellow Card
G. Montiel (Sevilla) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Doherty replaces M. Llorente
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: S. Niguez replaces Koke
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: B. Gil replaces Y. En Nesyri
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: A. Telles replaces I. Rakitic
76'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Morata
1-5
74'
Penalty missed by I. Rakitic for Sevilla
69'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by Y. Carrasco, assisted by P. Barrios
1-4
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: O. Torres replaces Suso
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: P. Barrios replaces T. Lemar
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Morata replaces M. Depay
55'
Yellow Card
M. Acuna (Sevilla) cautioned
53'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Griezmann, assisted by Koke
1-3
40'
Yellow Card
J. M. Gimenez (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
39'
Goal scored for Sevilla by Y. En Nesyri, assisted by P. Gueye
1-2
26'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by M. Depay, assisted by M. Llorente
0-2
25'
Yellow Card
P. Gueye (Sevilla) cautioned
23'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by M. Depay, assisted by A. Griezmann
0-1

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Atletico Madrid vs. Sevilla: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Sevilla
  • Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Atletico Madrid -160, Sevilla +500, Draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+120/-146)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 55.5%
  • Sevilla: 19.1%
  • Draw: 25.4%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Atletico Madrid 1-0 Sevilla, which has a correct score probability of 15%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Atletico Madrid a win probability of 55.5%, while Sevilla has a win probability of 19.1%. The chance of a draw is 25.4%.

Summary

Our Atletico Madrid vs. Sevilla predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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