Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga game on February 25, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
1
:
1
Feb 25, 5:30PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Real Madrid
Feb 25, 5:30PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Real MadridRMA
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
A. Rodriguez (85')
A. Correa (64')
J. M. Gimenez (78')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RMA
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ATM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
L. Modric (Real Madrid) cautioned
85'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by A. Rodriguez, assisted by L. Modric
1-1
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Lucas replaces D. Carvajal
78'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by J. M. Gimenez, assisted by A. Griezmann
1-0
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Witsel replaces Koke
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Rodriguez replaces N. Fernandez
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Morata replaces S. Niguez
71'
Yellow Card
N. Molina (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
64'
Red Card
A. Correa (Atl. Madrid) sent off with a straight red card
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces T. Kroos
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: L. Modric replaces M. Asensio
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Tchouameni replaces D. Ceballos
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: T. Lemar replaces M. Llorente
56'
Yellow Card
N. Fernandez (Real Madrid) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Correa replaces P. Barrios
36'
Yellow Card
M. Llorente (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
23'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. M. Gimenez replaces R. Mandava
22'
Yellow Card
Koke (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
7'
Yellow Card
E. Militao (Real Madrid) cautioned

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Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, February 25, 2023
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Santiago BernabĂ©u

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Real Madrid -120, Atletico Madrid +380, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+118/-142)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Real Madrid: 50.2%
  • Atletico Madrid: 23.5%
  • Draw: 26.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Real Madrid 1-0 Atletico Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Real Madrid a win probability of 50.2%, while Atletico Madrid has a win probability of 23.5%. The chance of a draw is 26.3%.

Summary

Our Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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