Valencia vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Valencia vs. Villareal La Liga game on March 5, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Villareal
1
2
Mar 5, 8PM Mestalla
Valencia
Mar 5, 8PM Mestalla
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ValenciaVCF
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
Soler (86') (P)
Guedes (90')
Moreno (40') (P)
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VCF
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
90'
Throw-in for Villarreal CF close to the penalty box.
90'
Villarreal CF have a dangerous throw-in.
90'
Substitution
The home team have replaced Maxi Gomez with Lato Toni. This is the fifth substitution made today by Javi Gracia.
90'
Valencia CF take a 2-1 lead thanks to Goncalo Guedes.
1-2
90'
Ball goes out of play for a Valencia CF goal kick.
90'
Corner awarded to Villarreal CF.
90'
Villarreal CF drives forward and Carlos Bacca gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
89'
Can Villarreal CF get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Valencia CF's half?
89'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez awards Villarreal CF a goal kick.
88'
Substitution
Carlos Bacca is replacing Moi Gomez for Villarreal CF at Mestalla.
88'
Throw-in Villarreal CF.
88'
Valencia CF to take a throw-in in Villarreal CF territory.
86'
Carlos Soler levels the score at 1-1 from the penalty spot.
1-1
85'
Yellow Card
Raul Albiol (Villarreal CF) gets a yellow card.
83'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez awards the home team a throw-in.
83'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
82'
Valencia CF have a goal kick.
81'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez signals a free kick to Villarreal CF.
80'
Substitution
Manu Vallejo is on a sub for Daniel Wass for Valencia CF.
80'
Substitution
Javi Gracia is making the team's third substitution at Mestalla with Christian Oliva replacing Uros Racic.
80'
In Valencia Valencia CF attack through Jose Luis Gaya. The finish is off target, however.
80'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Valencia.
79'
Valencia CF awarded a free kick in their own half.
79'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez signals a Valencia CF throw-in in Villarreal CF's half.
79'
Throw-in for Villarreal CF at Mestalla.
79'
Can Valencia CF get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Villarreal CF's half?
78'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez awards the home team a throw-in.
77'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez signals a free kick to Valencia CF in their own half.
76'
Throw-in for Villarreal CF at Mestalla.
74'
Throw-in Valencia CF.
74'
Goal kick for Valencia CF at Mestalla.
74'
Villarreal CF have been awarded a corner by Xavier Estrada Fernandez.
73'
Villarreal CF's Alfonso Pedraza gets in a shot on goal at Mestalla. But the effort is unsuccessful.
72'
Substitution
The away team have replaced Etienne Capoue with Jaume Costa. This is the third substitution made today by Unai Emery.
71'
Valencia CF's Jose Luis Gaya misses with an attempt on goal.
71'
Villarreal CF have a goal kick.
70'
Free kick for Valencia CF in their own half.
69'
In Valencia, Valencia CF push forward quickly but are pulled up for offside.
69'
Maxi Gomez of Valencia CF gets in a strike, but is off target.
69'
Goal kick for Villarreal CF at Mestalla.
69'
Can Valencia CF capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Villarreal CF's half?
68'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez signals a throw-in for Valencia CF, close to Villarreal CF's area.
67'
Villarreal CF awarded a free kick in their own half.
67'
Yellow Card
At Mestalla, Maxi Gomez has been yellow-carded for the home team.
66'
Valencia CF awarded a throw-in in their own half.
66'
Substitution
Goncalo Guedes is replacing Alex Blanco for the home team.
66'
Substitution
Valencia CF make their first substitution with Alfonso Pedraza replacing Paco Alcacer.
65'
Maxi Gomez for the home team is judged to be offside.
64'
Throw-in for Villarreal CF close to the penalty box.
64'
Gerard Moreno gets his shot on target but fails to score for Villarreal CF.
64'
Valencia CF are pushing forward but Maxi Gomez's finish is wide of the goal.
64'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Valencia.
63'
Ball safe as Villarreal CF is awarded a throw-in in their half.
63'
Valencia CF are coming forward and Alex Blanco gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
63'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez awards Villarreal CF a goal kick.
62'
Ball goes out of play for a Valencia CF goal kick.
61'
Valencia CF attack but Paco Alcacer's header doesn't find the target.
61'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez awards Villarreal CF a goal kick.
61'
Throw-in for Valencia CF in the half of Villarreal CF.
54'
Can Valencia CF get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Villarreal CF's half?
54'
Throw-in high up the field for Valencia CF in Valencia.
51'
Throw-in for Valencia CF in their own half.
51'
At Mestalla, Valencia CF are penalized for being offside.
51'
Throw-in for Valencia CF in the half of Villarreal CF.
50'
Valencia CF's Kang In Lee misses with an attempt on goal.
50'
Villarreal CF have a goal kick.
49'
Villarreal CF to take a throw-in in Valencia CF territory.
47'
Valencia CF awarded a free kick in their own half.
46'
In Valencia Valencia CF attack through Kang In Lee. The finish is off target, however.
46'
Goal kick for Villarreal CF at Mestalla.
46'
Valencia CF have been awarded a corner by Xavier Estrada Fernandez.
45'
Substitution
Unai Emery (Villarreal CF) is making a second substitution, with Alfonso Pedraza replacing Paco Alcacer.
45'
Substitution
The away team replace Pervis Estupinan with Manu Trigueros.
45'
The first half has been concluded at Mestalla.
45'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
45'
Valencia CF's Uros Racic breaks free at Mestalla. But the strike goes wide of the post.
45'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Valencia.
45'
Throw-in Valencia CF.
45'
Ball goes out of play for a Villarreal CF goal kick.
45'
Jose Luis Gaya for Valencia CF gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
45'
Corner awarded to Valencia CF.
45'
Villarreal CF needs to be cautious. Valencia CF have an attacking throw-in.
45'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez signals a free kick to Valencia CF in their own half.
45'
Corner awarded to Villarreal CF.
45'
In Valencia Villarreal CF drive forward through Paco Alcacer. His shot is on target but it's saved.
44'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez awards Villarreal CF a goal kick.
42'
Yellow Card
Jose Luis Gaya (Villarreal CF) has received a first yellow card.
42'
Free kick in a good position for Valencia CF!
41'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez awards the home team a throw-in.
41'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez signals a Villarreal CF throw-in in Valencia CF's half.
41'
Uros Racic has recovered and rejoins the match in Valencia.
40'
Goal! Gerard Moreno gives Villarreal CF the lead from the penalty spot. The score is now 0-1.
1-0
39'
Yellow Card
Jose Luis Gaya is booked for the home team.
36'
Yellow Card
Carlos Soler (Villarreal CF) has received a yellow card from Xavier Estrada Fernandez.
36'
Free kick for Valencia CF in their own half.
34'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez waits before resuming play because Uros Racic for Valencia CF is still down.
33'
Goal kick for Villarreal CF at Mestalla.
33'
Etienne Capoue of Villarreal CF gets in a strike, but is off target.
33'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Valencia.
31'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez signals a free kick to Valencia CF in their own half.
30'
Valencia CF awarded a throw-in in their own half.
30'
Valencia CF have a goal kick.
28'
Valencia CF have been awarded a corner by Xavier Estrada Fernandez.
26'
Throw-in for Villarreal CF at Mestalla.
23'
Ball safe as Valencia CF is awarded a throw-in in their half.
23'
Yellow Card
Carlos Soler for Valencia CF has been booked by Xavier Estrada Fernandez and receives a first yellow card.
23'
Free kick for Villarreal CF in their own half.
21'
Ball goes out of play for a Villarreal CF goal kick.
21'
Corner awarded to Valencia CF.
20'
Kang In Lee of Valencia CF smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
19'
Valencia CF to take a throw-in in Villarreal CF territory.
18'
Villarreal CF awarded a free kick in their own half.
16'
Valencia CF have a dangerous throw-in.
15'
Can Valencia CF get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Villarreal CF's half?
14'
Yellow Card
Uros Racic (Valencia CF) has been booked and must now be careful not to get a second yellow card.
14'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez signals a free kick to Villarreal CF in their own half.
14'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Valencia.
13'
Free kick for Villarreal CF in their own half.
13'
Free kick Valencia CF.
12'
Villarreal CF awarded a free kick in their own half.
11'
Villarreal CF have a goal kick.
11'
Ball goes out of play for a Valencia CF goal kick.
9'
Villarreal CF awarded a free kick in their own half.
9'
Throw-in for Valencia CF in the half of Villarreal CF.
8'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez signals a Villarreal CF throw-in in Valencia CF's half.
6'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez signals a free kick to Villarreal CF in their own half.
5'
Xavier Estrada Fernandez awards Villarreal CF a goal kick.
5'
Valencia CF have been awarded a corner by Xavier Estrada Fernandez.
3'
Goal kick for Valencia CF at Mestalla.
3'
Villarreal CF's Dani Parejo gets his shot away but it misses the target.
2'
Free kick for Villarreal CF in their own half.
2'
Throw-in for Villarreal CF in their own half.
1'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
1'
The whistle has gone to start the match.
Match Stats
Villareal
MATCH STATS
Valencia
10 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 3
47% Possession % 53%
9 Fouls 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
3 Corners 5
Villareal[object Object]
Valencia[object Object]
10 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 3
47% Possession % 53%
9 Fouls 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
3 Corners 5

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Valencia vs. Villareal: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Valencia vs. Villareal
  • Date: Friday, March 5, 2021
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Mestalla

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Valencia +285, Villareal +110, Draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+106/-132)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Valencia: 26.0%
  • Villareal: 46.6%
  • Draw: 27.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Valencia 1-1 Villareal, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Valencia a win probability of 26.0%, while Villareal has a win probability of 46.6%. The chance of a draw is 27.3%.

Summary

Our Valencia vs. Villareal predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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