Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid La Liga game on March 7, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
1
:
1
Mar 7, 3:15PM Wanda Metropolitano
Atletico Madrid
Mar 7, 3:15PM Wanda Metropolitano
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
Suarez (15')
Benzema (88')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
RMA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
In Madrid Real Madrid attack through Karim Benzema. The finish is off target, however.
90'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Madrid.
90'
Real Madrid have a dangerous throw-in.
90'
Yellow Card
Marcos Llorente (Atletico Madrid) has received a first yellow card.
90'
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez signals a free kick to Real Madrid in their own half.
90'
Toni Kroos for Real Madrid gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
90'
Atletico Madrid have a goal kick.
90'
Yellow Card
At Wanda Metropolitano, Stefan Savic has been yellow-carded for the home team.
90'
Atletico Madrid will need to be alert as they defend a dangerous free kick from Real Madrid.
88'
Karim Benzema levels the score at 1-1.
1-1
87'
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez signals a Real Madrid throw-in in Atletico Madrid's half.
86'
Real Madrid to take a throw-in in Atletico Madrid territory.
85'
Free kick for Real Madrid in their own half.
85'
Can Atletico Madrid capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Real Madrid's half?
84'
Free kick Atletico Madrid.
83'
Throw-in Atletico Madrid.
82'
Substitution
The home team replace Angel Correa with Geoffrey Kondogbia.
82'
Real Madrid drives forward and Karim Benzema gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
80'
Yellow Card
Joao Felix (Atletico Madrid) gets a yellow card.
80'
It's getting dangerous! Free kick for Real Madrid close to the penalty box.
80'
Corner awarded to Real Madrid.
80'
Real Madrid's Karim Benzema is on target but unsuccessful.
80'
Real Madrid pushes forward through Federico Valverde, whose finish on goal is saved.
78'
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid.
78'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Madrid.
77'
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid in their own half.
77'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
76'
Atletico Madrid needs to be cautious. Real Madrid have an attacking throw-in.
75'
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez signals a free kick to Real Madrid in their own half.
74'
Real Madrid's Karim Benzema gets his shot away but it misses the target.
74'
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez awards Atletico Madrid a goal kick.
72'
Yellow Card
Angel Correa (Atletico Madrid) has received a yellow card from Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez.
72'
Free kick for Real Madrid in the half of Atletico Madrid.
71'
Atletico Madrid awarded a free kick in their own half.
71'
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez signals a throw-in for Real Madrid, close to Atletico Madrid's area.
71'
In Madrid Real Madrid drive forward through Luis Suarez. His shot is on target but it's saved.
70'
In Madrid a free kick has been awarded the away team.
68'
Real Madrid's Vinicius Junior breaks free at Wanda Metropolitano. But the strike goes wide of the post.
68'
Goal kick for Atletico Madrid at Wanda Metropolitano.
67'
Yellow Card
Real Madrid's Yannick Carrasco has been booked in Madrid.
67'
Free kick for Atletico Madrid in their own half.
67'
Free kick Real Madrid.
66'
Luis Suarez of Atletico Madrid smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
66'
Can Atletico Madrid get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Real Madrid's half?
66'
In Madrid, Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) misses the target with a header.
66'
Atletico Madrid have a goal kick.
64'
Substitution
Joao Felix is replacing Yannick Carrasco for Atletico Madrid at Wanda Metropolitano.
64'
Yellow Card
Yannick Carrasco for Atletico Madrid has been booked by Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez and receives a first yellow card.
63'
Ball safe as Real Madrid is awarded a throw-in in their half.
62'
Real Madrid have been awarded a corner by Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez.
61'
Atletico Madrid's Angel Correa gets his shot away but it misses the target.
61'
Ball goes out of play for a Real Madrid goal kick.
60'
Substitution
Vinicius Junior is on a sub for Rodrygo for Real Madrid.
60'
Substitution
Real Madrid make their first substitution with Federico Valverde replacing Marco Asensio.
59'
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez awards Real Madrid a goal kick.
58'
Luis Suarez for Atletico Madrid gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
58'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Madrid.
58'
Real Madrid awarded a free kick in their own half.
57'
Substitution
Diego Simeone is making the team's first substitution at Wanda Metropolitano with Saul Niguez replacing Thomas Lemar.
57'
In Madrid Real Madrid attack through Lucas Vazquez. The finish is off target, however.
57'
Goal kick for Atletico Madrid at Wanda Metropolitano.
57'
Real Madrid have been awarded a corner by Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez.
56'
Free kick for Real Madrid in their own half.
55'
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez signals a free kick to Real Madrid in their own half.
55'
Atletico Madrid drives forward and Luis Suarez gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
54'
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid in their own half.
54'
Corner awarded to Real Madrid.
53'
Ball goes out of play for a Real Madrid goal kick.
53'
Yannick Carrasco of Atletico Madrid gets in a strike, but is off target.
53'
Atletico Madrid's Yannick Carrasco is on target but unsuccessful.
52'
Nacho (Real Madrid) gets in a header on goal but the attempt is cleared.
50'
Real Madrid are in shooting range from this free kick.
49'
Throw-in for Real Madrid in the half of Atletico Madrid.
49'
Real Madrid have been awarded a corner by Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez.
47'
Free kick for Real Madrid in their own half.
46'
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid.
45'
The first-half is over.
45'
Free kick in a good position for Atletico Madrid!
45'
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez signals a throw-in for Atletico Madrid, close to Real Madrid's area.
45'
Atletico Madrid awarded a free kick in their own half.
43'
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez signals a Real Madrid throw-in in Atletico Madrid's half.
39'
Corner awarded to Real Madrid.
39'
Real Madrid to take a throw-in in Atletico Madrid territory.
39'
Atletico Madrid needs to be cautious. Real Madrid have an attacking throw-in.
38'
Atletico Madrid pushes forward through Luis Suarez, whose finish on goal is saved.
36'
Real Madrid awarded a free kick in their own half.
33'
Atletico Madrid to take a throw-in in Real Madrid territory.
32'
Throw-in for Real Madrid close to the penalty box.
31'
Can Real Madrid capitalize from this dangerous free kick?
30'
Free kick for Real Madrid in their own half.
30'
Can Atletico Madrid get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Real Madrid's half?
30'
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid in their own half.
29'
Real Madrid's Luka Modric misses with an attempt on goal.
29'
Atletico Madrid have a goal kick.
29'
Casemiro for Real Madrid drives towards goal at Wanda Metropolitano. But the finish is unsuccessful.
27'
Ball goes out of play for a Real Madrid goal kick.
25'
Throw-in for Real Madrid at Wanda Metropolitano.
25'
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez signals a Atletico Madrid throw-in in Real Madrid's half.
25'
Real Madrid have a goal kick.
24'
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez awards the away team a throw-in.
24'
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid in the half of Real Madrid.
23'
Can Atletico Madrid capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Real Madrid's half?
22'
Real Madrid attack but Karim Benzema's header doesn't find the target.
22'
Throw-in high up the field for Real Madrid in Madrid.
21'
Real Madrid awarded a throw-in in their own half.
20'
Karim Benzema's header is off-target for Real Madrid.
20'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Madrid.
18'
Karim Benzema of Real Madrid smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
17'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
15'
Luis Suarez scores to make it 1-0 at Wanda Metropolitano.
0-1
13'
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez awards Real Madrid a goal kick.
10'
Goal kick for Atletico Madrid at Wanda Metropolitano.
7'
Free kick for Real Madrid in the half of Atletico Madrid.
7'
Atletico Madrid have a dangerous throw-in.
5'
Throw-in Real Madrid.
5'
Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.
3'
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid just outside Real Madrid's area.
2'
Ball safe as Atletico Madrid is awarded a throw-in in their half.
1'
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez signals a free kick to Real Madrid in their own half.
1'
The first-half is now underway.
Match Stats
Real Madrid
MATCH STATS
Atletico Madrid
20 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 5
60% Possession % 40%
9 Fouls 18
1 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 0
6 Corners 1
Real Madrid[object Object]
Atletico Madrid[object Object]
20 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 5
60% Possession % 40%
9 Fouls 18
1 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 0
6 Corners 1

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Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, March 7, 2021
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Wanda Metropolitano

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Atletico Madrid +180, Real Madrid +165, Draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+120/-147)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 33.3%
  • Real Madrid: 38.0%
  • Draw: 28.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Atletico Madrid a win probability of 33.3%, while Real Madrid has a win probability of 38.0%. The chance of a draw is 28.7%.

Summary

Our Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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