Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga game on November 28, 2020 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
1
0
Nov 28, 3:15PM Mestalla
Valencia
Nov 28, 3:15PM Mestalla
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ValenciaVCF
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
Lato (79') (OG)
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VCF
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATM
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Ball goes out of play for a Atletico Madrid goal kick.
90'
In Valencia a free kick has been awarded the away team.
90'
Free kick for Valencia CF in the half of Atletico Madrid.
90'
Throw-in for Valencia CF close to the penalty box.
90'
Valencia CF have been awarded a corner by Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea.
90'
Can Valencia CF capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Atletico Madrid's half?
89'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
88'
Atletico Madrid awarded a free kick in their own half.
88'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea signals a free kick to Valencia CF.
86'
Valencia CF awarded a free kick in their own half.
85'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea awards Atletico Madrid a goal kick.
85'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea signals a Valencia CF throw-in in Atletico Madrid's half.
84'
Substitution
Jason is replacing Daniel Wass for the home team.
84'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Valencia.
83'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea signals a Valencia CF throw-in in Atletico Madrid's half.
83'
Yellow Card
Koke is booked for the away team.
83'
Free kick for Valencia CF in their own half.
82'
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid in their own half.
81'
Can Valencia CF get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Atletico Madrid's half?
81'
Yellow Card
Joao Felix for Atletico Madrid has been booked by Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea and receives a first yellow card.
81'
Throw-in for Valencia CF at Mestalla.
81'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
80'
Throw-in for Valencia CF in the half of Atletico Madrid.
79'
Own goal! Lato Toni scores in his own net to make it 0-1.
1-0
78'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid in their own half.
76'
Valencia CF awarded a free kick in their own half.
76'
Yellow Card
Marcos Llorente for Atletico Madrid has been booked by Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea and receives a first yellow card.
75'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea awards the home team a throw-in.
74'
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid at Mestalla.
73'
Free kick for Valencia CF in their own half.
73'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid in their own half.
72'
Valencia CF have a goal kick.
71'
Substitution
Ruben Sobrino is replacing Manu Vallejo for the home team.
71'
Substitution
Javi Gracia is making the team's third substitution at Mestalla with Kevin Gameiro replacing Maxi Gomez.
70'
Substitution
Thierry Correia is on a sub for Yunus Musah for Valencia CF.
70'
Throw-in Atletico Madrid.
69'
Valencia CF to take a throw-in in Atletico Madrid territory.
68'
Free kick for Valencia CF in their own half.
67'
It's getting dangerous! Free kick for Atletico Madrid close to the penalty box.
66'
Ball safe as Atletico Madrid is awarded a throw-in in their half.
65'
Substitution
The away team have replaced Thomas Lemar with Geoffrey Kondogbia. This is the fourth substitution made today by Diego Simeone.
65'
Substitution
Atletico Madrid make their third substitution with Vitolo replacing Angel Correa.
63'
Free kick Valencia CF.
63'
Ball goes out of play for a Atletico Madrid goal kick.
62'
Yellow Card
Angel Correa (Atletico Madrid) has received a yellow card from Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea.
62'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea signals a free kick to Valencia CF in their own half.
61'
Atletico Madrid have been awarded a corner by Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea.
60'
Atletico Madrid awarded a free kick in their own half.
60'
Substitution
The away team replace Saul Niguez with Yannick Carrasco.
60'
Atletico Madrid are coming forward and Joao Felix gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
60'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea awards Valencia CF a goal kick.
58'
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid in their own half.
58'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea signals a Valencia CF throw-in in Atletico Madrid's half.
57'
Substitution
Javi Gracia (Valencia CF) is making a first substitution, with Eliaquim Mangala replacing Hugo Guillamon.
57'
Yellow Card
Hugo Guillamon (Valencia CF) gets booked by Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea, and will miss the next match due to the number of yellow cards received this season.
56'
Atletico Madrid are caught offside.
56'
Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.
53'
Goal kick for Valencia CF at Mestalla.
52'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Valencia.
51'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea awards the away team a throw-in.
50'
Valencia CF have a goal kick.
48'
Valencia CF awarded a throw-in in their own half.
46'
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid in their own half.
46'
Atletico Madrid awarded a throw-in in their own half.
46'
Throw-in for Valencia CF in the half of Atletico Madrid.
45'
Substitution
Joao Felix is replacing Renan Lodi for Atletico Madrid at Mestalla.
45'
The first half has been concluded at Mestalla.
45'
Atletico Madrid's Marcos Llorente misses with an attempt on goal.
45'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Valencia.
44'
Valencia CF have a goal kick.
43'
Yellow Card
At Mestalla, Saul Niguez has been yellow-carded for the away team.
43'
Valencia CF awarded a free kick in their own half.
43'
Atletico Madrid drives forward and Thomas Lemar gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
41'
Atletico Madrid are pushing forward but Jose Gimenez's finish is wide of the goal.
41'
Goal kick for Valencia CF at Mestalla.
41'
Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.
39'
Saul Niguez of Atletico Madrid gets in a strike, but is off target.
39'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea awards Valencia CF a goal kick.
39'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea signals a throw-in for Atletico Madrid, close to Valencia CF's area.
39'
Atletico Madrid have been awarded a corner by Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea.
38'
In Valencia Atletico Madrid drive forward through Thomas Lemar. His shot is on target but it's saved.
37'
Free kick Valencia CF.
37'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea signals a free kick to Valencia CF in their own half.
36'
Throw-in for Valencia CF at Mestalla.
34'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid just outside Valencia CF's area.
32'
Throw-in Atletico Madrid.
31'
Valencia CF needs to be cautious. Atletico Madrid have an attacking throw-in.
30'
Ball safe as Atletico Madrid is awarded a throw-in in their half.
29'
Free kick for Atletico Madrid in the half of Valencia CF.
28'
Yellow Card
Valencia CF's Uros Racic has been booked in Valencia.
28'
In Valencia a free kick has been awarded the away team.
27'
Valencia CF are coming forward and Yunus Musah gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
27'
Ball goes out of play for a Atletico Madrid goal kick.
26'
Can Valencia CF get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Atletico Madrid's half?
24'
Goal kick for Valencia CF at Mestalla.
23'
Free kick for Atletico Madrid in their own half.
23'
Corner awarded to Valencia CF.
22'
Valencia CF drives forward and Uros Racic gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
21'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea awards Valencia CF a goal kick.
21'
Atletico Madrid's Jose Gimenez gets his shot away but it misses the target.
20'
Atletico Madrid have been awarded a corner by Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea.
19'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Valencia.
19'
Valencia CF to take a throw-in in Atletico Madrid territory.
18'
Valencia CF have a goal kick.
17'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
17'
Ball goes out of play for a Valencia CF goal kick.
16'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea awards the away team a throw-in.
15'
Throw-in high up the field for Valencia CF in Valencia.
13'
Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.
13'
Atletico Madrid pushes forward through Thomas Lemar, whose finish on goal is saved.
11'
Valencia CF push upfield but Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea quickly pulls them for offside.
9'
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoechea signals a free kick to Valencia CF.
9'
Valencia CF's Marcos Llorente is on target but unsuccessful.
8'
Can Valencia CF capitalize from this dangerous free kick?
7'
Marcos Llorente of Atletico Madrid smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
1'
The first-half is just kicking off.
Match Stats
Atletico Madrid
MATCH STATS
Valencia
11 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 2
68% Possession % 32%
14 Fouls 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
7 Corners 2
Atletico Madrid[object Object]
Valencia[object Object]
11 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 2
68% Possession % 32%
14 Fouls 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
7 Corners 2

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Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, November 28, 2020
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Mestalla

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Valencia: 24.3%
  • Atletico Madrid: 50.5%
  • Draw: 25.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Valencia 0-1 Atletico Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Valencia a win probability of 24.3%, while Atletico Madrid has a win probability of 50.5%. The chance of a draw is 25.3%.

Summary

Our Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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