Chelsea vs. Brighton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Brighton Premier League game on September 28, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Brighton
2
4
Sep 28, 2PM Stamford Bridge (London)
Chelsea
Sep 28, 2PM Stamford Bridge (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
BrightonBHA
C. Palmer (21')
C. Palmer (pen.) (28')
C. Palmer (31')
C. Palmer (41')
G. Rutter (7')
C. Baleba (34')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
BHA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: E. Ferguson replaces D. Welbeck
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: R. Lavia replaces E. Fernandez
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Nkunku replaces N. Jackson
78'
Yellow Card
W. Fofana (Chelsea) cautioned
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Mudryk replaces J. Sancho
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: Y. Minteh replaces G. Rutter
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: J. Enciso replaces F. Kadioglu
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: R. Veiga replaces M. Cucurella
69'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: P. Neto replaces N. Madueke
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: Y. Ayari replaces M. Wieffer
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: Igor replaces A. Webster
41'
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer, assisted by J. Sancho
2-4
34'
Goal scored for Brighton by C. Baleba
2-3
33'
Yellow Card
M. Cucurella (Chelsea) cautioned
31'
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer
1-3
29'
Yellow Card
P. Estupinan (Brighton) cautioned
29'
Yellow Card
E. Fernandez (Chelsea) cautioned
28'
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer (pen.)
1-2
27'
Yellow Card
L. Dunk (Brighton) cautioned
24'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
21'
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer, assisted by N. Jackson
1-1
7'
Goal scored for Brighton by G. Rutter, assisted by C. Baleba
1-0

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Chelsea vs. Brighton: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Brighton
  • Date: Saturday, September 28, 2024
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Chelsea -130, Brighton +330, Draw +300

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Chelsea: 57.7%
  • Brighton: 21.2%
  • Draw: 21.1%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Chelsea 2-1 Brighton, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Chelsea a win probability of 57.7%, while Brighton has a win probability of 21.2%. The chance of a draw is 21.1%.

Summary

Our Chelsea vs. Brighton predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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