Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on April 22, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
1
2
Apr 22, 7PM Etihad Stadium (Manchester)
Manchester City
Apr 22, 7PM Etihad Stadium (Manchester)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Manchester CityMNC
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
B. Silva (7')
M. Nunes (90')
M. Rashford (pen.) (18')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MNC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAston VillaManchester CityDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAston VillaManchester CityHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Manchester City by M. Nunes, assisted by J. Doku
1-2
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: M. Akanji replaces K. De Bruyne
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Malen replaces M. Rogers
86'
Yellow Card
B. Silva (Manchester City) cautioned
85'
Yellow Card
O. Watkins (Aston Villa) cautioned
77'
Yellow Card
M. Nunes (Manchester City) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: O. Watkins replaces M. Rashford
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Asensio replaces A. Onana
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: J. Doku replaces J. McAtee
70'
Yellow Card
J. Gvardiol (Manchester City) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Disasi replaces M. Cash
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. McGinn replaces J. Ramsey
50'
Yellow Card
M. Rogers (Aston Villa) cautioned
35'
Yellow Card
L. Digne (Aston Villa) cautioned
19'
Yellow Card
P. Guardiola (Manchester City) cautioned
18'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Rashford (pen.)
1-1
7'
Goal scored for Manchester City by B. Silva
0-1

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Manchester City vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Manchester City vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Tuesday, April 22, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Etihad Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Manchester City -109, Aston Villa +290, Draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-175/+136)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Manchester City: 51.9%
  • Aston Villa: 25.2%
  • Draw: 22.9%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Manchester City 1-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Manchester City a win probability of 51.9%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 25.2%. The chance of a draw is 22.9%.

Summary

Our Manchester City vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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