Aston Villa vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Newcastle Premier League game on April 19, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Newcastle
1
4
Apr 19, 4:30PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
Apr 19, 4:30PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
NewcastleNEW
O. Watkins (1')
I. Maatsen (64')
D. Burn (o.g.) (73')
A. Onana (75')
F. Schar (18')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
NEW
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityNewcastleAston VillaDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityNewcastleAston VillaHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
88'
Yellow Card
J. Ramsey (Aston Villa) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: M. Targett replaces F. Schar
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: R. Barkley replaces B. Kamara
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Malen replaces M. Rogers
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Rashford replaces O. Watkins
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: E. Krafth replaces K. Trippier
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Willock replaces H. Barnes
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: C. Wilson replaces A. Isak
75'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by A. Onana, assisted by M. Rogers
1-4
73'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by D. Burn (o.g.)
1-3
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Onana replaces M. Asensio
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Ramsey replaces J. McGinn
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: A. Gordon replaces J. Murphy
64'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by I. Maatsen, assisted by O. Watkins
1-2
63'
Yellow Card
Bruno Guimaraes (Newcastle) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
Joelinton (Newcastle) cautioned
18'
Goal scored for Newcastle by F. Schar, assisted by H. Barnes
1-1
13'
Yellow Card
F. Schar (Newcastle) cautioned
1'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by Y. Tielemans
0-1

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Aston Villa vs. Newcastle: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Newcastle
  • Date: Saturday, April 19, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa +155, Newcastle +175, Draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-160/+135)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 37.4%
  • Newcastle: 38.3%
  • Draw: 24.4%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 1-1 Newcastle, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 37.4%, while Newcastle has a win probability of 38.3%. The chance of a draw is 24.4%.

Summary

Our Aston Villa vs. Newcastle predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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