Southampton vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Southampton vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on April 12, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
3
0
Apr 12, 2PM St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton, Hampshire)
Southampton
Apr 12, 2PM St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton, Hampshire)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
SouthamptonSOT
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
O. Watkins (73')
D. Malen (79')
J. McGinn (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SOT
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAston VillaSouthamptonDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAston VillaSouthamptonHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Penalty missed by M. Asensio for Aston Villa
90'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by J. McGinn
3-0
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: J. Robinson replaces M. Fernandes
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: B. Kamara replaces A. Onana
88'
Yellow Card
T. Harwood-Bellis (Southampton) cautioned
87'
Yellow Card
J. McGinn (Aston Villa) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Garcia replaces M. Cash
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. McGinn replaces M. Rogers
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: Y. Sugawara replaces R. Manning
79'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by D. Malen, assisted by M. Rogers
2-0
73'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by Y. Tielemans
1-0
69'
Penalty missed by M. Asensio for Aston Villa
68'
Yellow Card
J. Bednarek (Southampton) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: O. Watkins replaces M. Rashford
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Malen replaces J. Ramsey
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: R. Stewart replaces C. Archer
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: W. Smallbone replaces K. Sulemana
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: T. Dibling replaces P. Onuachu
38'
Yellow Card
M. Fernandes (Southampton) cautioned

Game Prediction Article

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Southampton vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Southampton vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Saturday, April 12, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: St. Mary's Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Southampton +500, Aston Villa -189, Draw +350
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-185/+130)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Southampton: 17.4%
  • Aston Villa: 62.3%
  • Draw: 20.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Southampton 1-2 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Southampton a win probability of 17.4%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 62.3%. The chance of a draw is 20.3%.

Summary

Our Southampton vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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