Brighton vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brighton vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on April 2, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
3
0
Apr 2, 6:45PM American Express Stadium (Falmer, East Sussex)
Brighton
Apr 2, 6:45PM American Express Stadium (Falmer, East Sussex)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
M. Rashford (51')
M. Asensio (78')
D. Malen (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BHA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAston VillaBrightonDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAston VillaBrightonHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
E. Martinez (Aston Villa) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
A. Disasi (Aston Villa) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
O. Watkins (Aston Villa) cautioned
90'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by D. Malen, assisted by M. Asensio
3-0
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Malen replaces M. Rogers
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: M. O'Riley replaces B. Gruda
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Disasi replaces M. Cash
78'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Asensio, assisted by M. Rogers
2-0
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: M. Wieffer replaces J. Hinshelwood
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: E. Cashin replaces L. Dunk
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: C. Baleba replaces D. Gomez
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: D. Welbeck replaces Joao Pedro
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: O. Watkins replaces M. Rashford
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Onana replaces Y. Tielemans
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Asensio replaces J. Ramsey
55'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - handball
51'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Rashford, assisted by M. Rogers
1-0
20'
Yellow Card
J. Hinshelwood (Brighton) cautioned

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Brighton vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Wednesday, April 2, 2025
  • Time: 2:45 PM ET
  • Venue: American Express Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Brighton +135, Aston Villa +200, Draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-125/+112)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Brighton: 38.2%
  • Aston Villa: 36.9%
  • Draw: 25.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Brighton 1-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Brighton a win probability of 38.2%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 36.9%. The chance of a draw is 25.0%.

Summary

Our Brighton vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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