Burnley vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Chelsea Premier League game on October 7, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Chelsea
4
1
Oct 7, 2PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
Burnley
Oct 7, 2PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
W. Odobert (15')
A. Al Dakhil (o.g.) (42')
C. Palmer (pen.) (49')
R. Sterling (65')
N. Jackson (75')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BUR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CFC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: I. Maatsen replaces C. Palmer
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Mudryk replaces R. Sterling
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces W. Odobert
75'
Goal scored for Chelsea by N. Jackson, assisted by C. Palmer
4-1
74'
Yellow Card
M. Caicedo (Chelsea) cautioned
65'
Goal scored for Chelsea by R. Sterling, assisted by C. Gallagher
3-1
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: C. Roberts replaces Vitinho
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: L. Koleosho replaces M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: A. Ramsey replaces J. Cullen
49'
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer (pen.)
2-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: D. O'Shea replaces A. Al Dakhil
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: N. Jackson replaces A. Broja
45'
Yellow Card
T. Silva (Chelsea) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
M. Pochettino (Chelsea) cautioned
42'
Goal scored for Chelsea by A. Al Dakhil (o.g.)
1-1
38'
Yellow Card
W. Odobert (Burnley) cautioned
30'
Yellow Card
J. Cullen (Burnley) cautioned
27'
Yellow Card
E. Fernandez (Chelsea) cautioned
26'
Yellow Card
M. Cucurella (Chelsea) cautioned
15'
Goal scored for Burnley by W. Odobert, assisted by L. Foster
0-1

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Burnley vs. Chelsea: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Saturday, October 7, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Burnley +425, Chelsea -145, Draw +295
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-120/-110)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Burnley: 20.7%
  • Chelsea: 56.6%
  • Draw: 22.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Burnley 1-1 Chelsea, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Burnley a win probability of 20.7%, while Chelsea has a win probability of 56.6%. The chance of a draw is 22.7%.

Summary

Our Burnley vs. Chelsea predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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