Newcastle vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Burnley Premier League game on September 30, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Burnley
0
2
Sep 30, 2PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
Newcastle
Sep 30, 2PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
BurnleyBUR
M. Almiron (14')
A. Isak (pen.) (76')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEW
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
BUR
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Murphy replaces M. Almiron
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: V. Livramento replaces A. Isak
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: Vitinho replaces C. Roberts
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: A. Zaroury replaces S. Berge
76'
Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Isak (pen.)
0-2
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: S. Tonali replaces Joelinton
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: W. Odobert replaces A. Ramsey
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: Joelinton replaces E. Anderson
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces L. Koleosho
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Rodriguez replaces Z. Amdouni
53'
Yellow Card
C. Taylor (Burnley) cautioned
40'
Yellow Card
J. Beyer (Burnley) cautioned
29'
Yellow Card
Z. Amdouni (Burnley) cautioned
18'
Yellow Card
A. Gordon (Newcastle) cautioned
14'
Goal scored for Newcastle by M. Almiron, assisted by K. Trippier
0-1

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Newcastle vs. Burnley: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Burnley
  • Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: St. James' Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Newcastle -275, Burnley +900, Draw +450
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-185/+137)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Newcastle: 72.9%
  • Burnley: 10.2%
  • Draw: 17.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Newcastle 2-0 Burnley, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Newcastle a win probability of 72.9%, while Burnley has a win probability of 10.2%. The chance of a draw is 17.0%.

Summary

Our Newcastle vs. Burnley predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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