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Chelsea vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on September 24, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Aston Villa
1
0
Sep 24, 1PM Stamford Bridge (London)
Chelsea
Sep 24, 1PM Stamford Bridge (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
M. Gusto (58')
O. Watkins (73')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
B. Chilwell (Chelsea) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Dendoncker replaces B. Kamara
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Duran replaces O. Watkins
90'
Yellow Card
Douglas Luiz (Aston Villa) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
E. Martinez (Aston Villa) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Y. Tielemans replaces M. Diaby
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: A. Broja replaces M. Caicedo
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bailey replaces N. Zaniolo
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Ramsey replaces J. McGinn
73'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins
1-0
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Palmer replaces N. Jackson
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Ugochukwu replaces E. Fernandez
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: B. Chilwell replaces M. Mudryk
58'
Red Card
M. Gusto (Chelsea) sent off with a straight red card
51'
Yellow Card
N. Jackson (Chelsea) cautioned
44'
Yellow Card
L. Digne (Aston Villa) cautioned
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Chelsea vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Chelsea -120, Aston Villa +320, Draw +295
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-149/+111)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Chelsea: 56.3%
  • Aston Villa: 21.2%
  • Draw: 22.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Chelsea 1-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Chelsea a win probability of 56.3%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 21.2%. The chance of a draw is 22.5%.

Summary

Our Chelsea vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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