Aston Villa vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Chelsea Premier League game on April 27, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Chelsea
2
:
2
Apr 27, 7PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
Apr 27, 7PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
M. Cucurella (o.g.) (4')
M. Rogers (42')
N. Madueke (62')
C. Gallagher (81')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
CFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Casadei replaces M. Mudryk
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: A. Disasi replaces T. Silva
90'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - Foul
87'
Yellow Card
T. Silva (Chelsea) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Duran replaces M. Diaby
82'
Yellow Card
M. Mudryk (Chelsea) cautioned
81'
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Gallagher, assisted by N. Madueke
2-2
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Diego Carlos replaces L. Bailey
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: T. Iroegbunam replaces Douglas Luiz
66'
Yellow Card
L. Bailey (Aston Villa) cautioned
64'
Yellow Card
M. Rogers (Aston Villa) cautioned
62'
Goal scored for Chelsea by N. Madueke
1-2
49'
Yellow Card
Douglas Luiz (Aston Villa) cautioned
49'
Yellow Card
M. Caicedo (Chelsea) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: R. Olsen replaces E. Martinez
42'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Rogers, assisted by M. Cash
0-2
27'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Diaby replaces Y. Tielemans
16'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
4'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Cucurella (o.g.), assisted by J. McGinn
0-1

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Aston Villa vs. Chelsea: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Saturday, April 27, 2024
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa +105, Chelsea +240, Draw +290

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 44.6%
  • Chelsea: 33.1%
  • Draw: 22.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 1-1 Chelsea, which has a correct score probability of 9%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 44.6%, while Chelsea has a win probability of 33.1%. The chance of a draw is 22.3%.

Summary

Our Aston Villa vs. Chelsea predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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