Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on April 14, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Aston Villa
2
0
Apr 14, 3:30PM Emirates Stadium (London)
Arsenal
Apr 14, 3:30PM Emirates Stadium (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ArsenalARS
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
L. Bailey (84')
O. Watkins (87')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ARS
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAston VillaArsenalDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAston VillaArsenalHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
87'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by Y. Tielemans
2-0
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Nketiah replaces O. Zinchenko
84'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by L. Bailey, assisted by L. Digne
1-0
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Moreno replaces N. Zaniolo
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Smith Rowe replaces M. Odegaard
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: Jorginho replaces Gabriel Jesus
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: T. Tomiyasu replaces B. White
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: G. Martinelli replaces L. Trossard
63'
Yellow Card
K. Havertz (Arsenal) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bailey replaces M. Diaby
45'
Yellow Card
Gabriel (Arsenal) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
B. White (Arsenal) cautioned
14'
Yellow Card
M. Rogers (Aston Villa) cautioned

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Arsenal vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Arsenal vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, April 14, 2024
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Arsenal -375, Aston Villa +1050, Draw +575

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Arsenal: 76.0%
  • Aston Villa: 8.8%
  • Draw: 15.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Arsenal 2-0 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Arsenal a win probability of 76.0%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 8.8%. The chance of a draw is 15.2%.

Summary

Our Arsenal vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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