Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on April 3, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
1
4
Apr 3, 7:15PM Etihad Stadium (Manchester)
Manchester City
Apr 3, 7:15PM Etihad Stadium (Manchester)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Manchester CityMNC
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
Rodri (11')
P. Foden (45')
P. Foden (62')
P. Foden (69')
J. Duran (20')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MNC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
C. Chambers (Aston Villa) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: O. Bobb replaces P. Foden
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: S. Gomez replaces J. Doku
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: O. Kellyman replaces N. Zaniolo
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: M. Kovacic replaces Rodri
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: M. Nunes replaces B. Silva
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Moreno replaces J. Duran
69'
Goal scored for Manchester City by P. Foden, assisted by J. Alvarez
1-4
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bailey replaces T. Iroegbunam
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Y. Tielemans replaces M. Diaby
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: C. Chambers replaces Douglas Luiz
62'
Goal scored for Manchester City by P. Foden, assisted by Rodri
1-3
45'
Goal scored for Manchester City by P. Foden
1-2
38'
Yellow Card
Douglas Luiz (Aston Villa) cautioned
32'
Yellow Card
J. Grealish (Manchester City) cautioned
20'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by J. Duran, assisted by M. Rogers
1-1
11'
Goal scored for Manchester City by Rodri, assisted by J. Doku
0-1

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Manchester City vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Manchester City vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Wednesday, April 3, 2024
  • Time: 3:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Etihad Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Manchester City -400, Aston Villa +1300, Draw +650

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Manchester City: 76.0%
  • Aston Villa: 9.1%
  • Draw: 14.9%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Manchester City 2-0 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Manchester City a win probability of 76.0%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 9.1%. The chance of a draw is 14.9%.

Summary

Our Manchester City vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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