Newcastle vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on August 12, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
1
5
Aug 12, 4:30PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
Newcastle
Aug 12, 4:30PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
S. Tonali (6')
A. Isak (16')
A. Isak (58')
C. Wilson (77')
H. Barnes (90')
M. Diaby (11')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEW
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Newcastle by H. Barnes, assisted by J. Murphy
1-5
90'
Yellow Card
S. Tonali (Newcastle) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: E. Anderson replaces S. Tonali
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Philogene-Bidace replaces M. Cash
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Coutinho replaces M. Diaby
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Murphy replaces M. Almiron
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: S. Longstaff replaces B. Guimaraes
77'
Goal scored for Newcastle by C. Wilson, assisted by H. Barnes
1-4
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: C. Wilson replaces A. Isak
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: H. Barnes replaces A. Gordon
67'
Yellow Card
B. Guimaraes (Newcastle) cautioned
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Diego Carlos replaces J. McGinn
58'
Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Isak
1-3
53'
Yellow Card
A. Gordon (Newcastle) cautioned
48'
Yellow Card
M. Cash (Aston Villa) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Y. Tielemans replaces L. Bailey
45'
Yellow Card
E. Martinez (Aston Villa) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
S. Botman (Newcastle) cautioned
32'
Yellow Card
L. Digne (Aston Villa) cautioned
31'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: P. Torres replaces T. Mings
16'
Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Isak, assisted by S. Botman
1-2
11'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Diaby, assisted by O. Watkins
1-1
6'
Goal scored for Newcastle by S. Tonali, assisted by A. Gordon
0-1
6'
Yellow Card
Douglas Luiz (Aston Villa) cautioned

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Newcastle vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Saturday, August 12, 2023
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: St. James' Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Newcastle -130, Aston Villa +380, Draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-133/+105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Newcastle: 60.2%
  • Aston Villa: 17.8%
  • Draw: 22.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Newcastle 1-0 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Newcastle a win probability of 60.2%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 17.8%. The chance of a draw is 22.0%.

Summary

Our Newcastle vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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