Burnley vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Manchester City Premier League game on August 11, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Manchester City
3
0
Aug 11, 7PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
Burnley
Aug 11, 7PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
Manchester CityMNC
A. Zaroury (90')
E. Haaland (4')
E. Haaland (36')
Rodri (75')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BUR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MNC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Brownhill replaces S. Berge
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: N. Redmond replaces L. Foster
90'
Red Card
A. Zaroury (Burnley) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: J. McAtee replaces K. Walker
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: A. Laporte replaces N. Ake
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: C. Palmer replaces E. Haaland
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: J. Gvardiol replaces R. Lewis
75'
Yellow Card
P. Guardiola (Manchester City) cautioned
75'
Goal scored for Manchester City by Rodri
3-0
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: B. Manuel Hedilazio replaces J. Beyer
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces Z. Amdouni
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: A. Zaroury replaces L. Koleosho
36'
Goal scored for Manchester City by E. Haaland, assisted by J. Alvarez
2-0
23'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: M. Kovacic replaces K. De Bruyne
4'
Goal scored for Manchester City by E. Haaland, assisted by Rodri
1-0

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Burnley vs. Manchester City: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Manchester City
  • Date: Friday, August 11, 2023
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Burnley +900, Manchester City -300, Draw +460
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-165/+126)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Burnley: 8.6%
  • Manchester City: 74.8%
  • Draw: 16.6%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Burnley 0-2 Manchester City, which has a correct score probability of 14%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Burnley a win probability of 8.6%, while Manchester City has a win probability of 74.8%. The chance of a draw is 16.6%.

Summary

Our Burnley vs. Manchester City predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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