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Aston Villa vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Arsenal Premier League game on December 9, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
0
1
Dec 9, 5:30PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
Dec 9, 5:30PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
J. McGinn (7')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ARS
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - handball
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: R. Nelson replaces O. Zinchenko
87'
Yellow Card
Diego Carlos (Aston Villa) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Nketiah replaces Gabriel Jesus
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Moreno replaces L. Digne
77'
Yellow Card
D. Rice (Arsenal) cautioned
73'
Yellow Card
J. McGinn (Aston Villa) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: L. Trossard replaces G. Martinelli
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Cash replaces E. Konsa
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Dendoncker replaces B. Kamara
62'
Yellow Card
Douglas Luiz (Aston Villa) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Ramsey replaces Y. Tielemans
53'
Yellow Card
L. Digne (Aston Villa) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Diaby replaces L. Bailey
28'
Yellow Card
O. Zinchenko (Arsenal) cautioned
7'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by J. McGinn, assisted by L. Bailey
0-1
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Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Saturday, December 9, 2023
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa +265, Arsenal +100, Draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-143/+108)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 24.4%
  • Arsenal: 52.3%
  • Draw: 23.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 1-1 Arsenal, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 24.4%, while Arsenal has a win probability of 52.3%. The chance of a draw is 23.3%.

Summary

Our Aston Villa vs. Arsenal predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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