Leeds vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Leeds vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on October 2, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Aston Villa
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Oct 2, 3:30PM Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
Leeds
Oct 2, 3:30PM Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
LeedsLU
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
L. Sinisterra (49')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LU
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Ings replaces J. Ramsey
83'
Yellow Card
R. Koch (Leeds) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: M. Klich replaces B. Aaronson
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: C. Summerville replaces J. Harrison
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: L. Ayling replaces R. Kristensen
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: P. Bamford replaces Rodrigo
64'
Yellow Card
L. Bailey (Aston Villa) cautioned
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: E. Buendia replaces L. Bailey
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Firpo replaces M. Roca
49'
Red Card
L. Sinisterra (Leeds) sent off for a second yellow card
45'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Bednarek replaces L. Augustinsson
39'
Yellow Card
Rodrigo (Leeds) cautioned
35'
Yellow Card
M. Roca (Leeds) cautioned
26'
Yellow Card
L. Sinisterra (Leeds) cautioned
6'
Yellow Card
L. Augustinsson (Aston Villa) cautioned

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Leeds vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, October 2, 2022
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Leeds +150, Aston Villa +200, Draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-115/-104)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Leeds: 33.6%
  • Aston Villa: 41.4%
  • Draw: 25.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Leeds 1-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Leeds a win probability of 33.6%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 41.4%. The chance of a draw is 25.0%.

Summary

Our Leeds vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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