Aston Villa vs. Brighton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Brighton Premier League game on May 28, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Brighton
1
2
May 28, 3:30PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
May 28, 3:30PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
BrightonBHA
Douglas Luiz (8')
O. Watkins (26')
D. Undav (38')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
BHA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: J. Hinshelwood replaces D. Undav
88'
Yellow Card
P. Gross (Brighton) cautioned
73'
Yellow Card
M. Caicedo (Brighton) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: E. Buendia replaces L. Bailey
67'
Yellow Card
J. McGinn (Aston Villa) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: J. P. van Hecke replaces A. Webster
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: K. Mitoma replaces J. Enciso
63'
Yellow Card
F. Buonanotte (Brighton) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: P. Estupinan replaces J. Veltman
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: M. Caicedo replaces Y. Ayari
38'
Goal scored for Brighton by D. Undav, assisted by P. Gross
1-2
37'
Yellow Card
T. Mings (Aston Villa) cautioned
26'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by J. Ramsey
0-2
24'
Yellow Card
J. Ramsey (Aston Villa) cautioned
22'
Yellow Card
M. Cash (Aston Villa) cautioned
20'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
12'
Yellow Card
D. Undav (Brighton) cautioned
8'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by Douglas Luiz, assisted by J. Ramsey
0-1

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Aston Villa vs. Brighton: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Brighton
  • Date: Sunday, May 28, 2023
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa -110, Brighton +280, Draw +300

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 49.3%
  • Brighton: 27.4%
  • Draw: 23.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 1-1 Brighton, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 49.3%, while Brighton has a win probability of 27.4%. The chance of a draw is 23.3%.

Summary

Our Aston Villa vs. Brighton predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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