Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on February 12, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
1
3
Feb 12, 4:30PM Etihad Stadium (Manchester)
Manchester City
Feb 12, 4:30PM Etihad Stadium (Manchester)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Manchester CityMNC
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
Rodri (4')
I. Gundogan (39')
R. Mahrez (pen.) (45')
O. Watkins (61')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MNC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: N. Ake replaces R. Mahrez
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Cash replaces J. Ramsey
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Coutinho replaces A. Young
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: P. Foden replaces J. Grealish
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Duran replaces L. Bailey
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Moreno replaces L. Digne
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. McGinn replaces E. Buendia
61'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by Douglas Luiz
1-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: J. Alvarez replaces E. Haaland
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: M. Akanji replaces R. Dias
45'
Goal scored for Manchester City by R. Mahrez (pen.)
0-3
41'
Yellow Card
R. Dias (Manchester City) cautioned
39'
Goal scored for Manchester City by I. Gundogan, assisted by E. Haaland
0-2
37'
Yellow Card
L. Digne (Aston Villa) cautioned
4'
Goal scored for Manchester City by Rodri, assisted by R. Mahrez
0-1

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Manchester City vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Manchester City vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, February 12, 2023
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Etihad Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Manchester City -290, Aston Villa +900, Draw +450

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Manchester City: 77.7%
  • Aston Villa: 7.9%
  • Draw: 14.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Manchester City 2-0 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Manchester City a win probability of 77.7%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 7.9%. The chance of a draw is 14.3%.

Summary

Our Manchester City vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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