Aston Villa vs. Leeds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Leeds Premier League game on January 13, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Leeds
1
2
Jan 13, 8PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
Jan 13, 8PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
LeedsLU
L. Bailey (3')
E. Buendia (64')
P. Bamford (83')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
LU
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
E. Martinez (Aston Villa) cautioned
89'
Yellow Card
I. Meslier (Leeds) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Firpo replaces R. Koch
83'
Goal scored for Leeds by P. Bamford, assisted by J. Gelhardt
1-2
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Coutinho replaces E. Buendia
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Sanson replaces J. Ramsey
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: S. Greenwood replaces M. Roca
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Gelhardt replaces B. Aaronson
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: P. Bamford replaces J. Harrison
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: M. Wober replaces P. Struijk
64'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by E. Buendia
0-2
64'
Yellow Card
B. Kamara (Aston Villa) cautioned
33'
Yellow Card
R. Koch (Leeds) cautioned
32'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Ings replaces O. Watkins
10'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Moreno replaces L. Digne
3'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by L. Bailey, assisted by B. Kamara
0-1

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Aston Villa vs. Leeds: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Leeds
  • Date: Friday, January 13, 2023
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa +100, Leeds +305, Draw +265
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-130/+108)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 52.1%
  • Leeds: 24.2%
  • Draw: 23.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 1-1 Leeds, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 52.1%, while Leeds has a win probability of 24.2%. The chance of a draw is 23.7%.

Summary

Our Aston Villa vs. Leeds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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