Newcastle vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on October 29, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
0
4
Oct 29, 2PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
Newcastle
Oct 29, 2PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
C. Wilson (pen.) (45')
C. Wilson (56')
Joelinton (59')
M. Almiron (67')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEW
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: A. Saint-Maximin replaces M. Almiron
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: C. Wood replaces C. Wilson
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Lascelles replaces F. Schar
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Shelvey replaces B. Guimaraes
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Murphy replaces J. Willock
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: M. Targett replaces S. Botman
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Digne replaces M. Cash
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. McGinn replaces L. Dendoncker
67'
Goal scored for Newcastle by M. Almiron, assisted by C. Wilson
0-4
65'
Yellow Card
Joelinton (Newcastle) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Ramsey replaces L. Bailey
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Coutinho replaces E. Buendia
59'
Goal scored for Newcastle by Joelinton, assisted by C. Wilson
0-3
56'
Goal scored for Newcastle by C. Wilson, assisted by K. Trippier
0-2
45'
Yellow Card
O. Watkins (Aston Villa) cautioned
45'
Goal scored for Newcastle by C. Wilson (pen.)
0-1
35'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: R. Olsen replaces E. Martinez

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Newcastle vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Saturday, October 29, 2022
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: St. James' Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Newcastle -120, Aston Villa +360, Draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-112/-105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Newcastle: 46.1%
  • Aston Villa: 28.5%
  • Draw: 25.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Newcastle 1-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Newcastle a win probability of 46.1%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 28.5%. The chance of a draw is 25.5%.

Summary

Our Newcastle vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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