Aston Villa vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Chelsea Premier League game on October 16, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Chelsea
2
0
Oct 16, 1PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
Oct 16, 1PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
M. Mount (6')
M. Mount (65')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CFC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: A. Broja replaces R. Sterling
83'
Yellow Card
M. Mount (Chelsea) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Dendoncker replaces J. Ramsey
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Coutinho replaces J. McGinn
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: E. Buendia replaces L. Bailey
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: Jorginho replaces M. Kovacic
65'
Goal scored for Chelsea by M. Mount
2-0
61'
Yellow Card
K. Koulibaly (Chelsea) cautioned
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Gallagher replaces P. Aubameyang
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: K. Koulibaly replaces K. Havertz
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Azpilicueta replaces M. Cucurella
33'
Yellow Card
B. Chilwell (Chelsea) cautioned
6'
Goal scored for Chelsea by M. Mount
1-0

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Aston Villa vs. Chelsea: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Sunday, October 16, 2022
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa +360, Chelsea +100, Draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+105/-115)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 22.2%
  • Chelsea: 52.8%
  • Draw: 25.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 0-1 Chelsea, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 22.2%, while Chelsea has a win probability of 52.8%. The chance of a draw is 25.0%.

Summary

Our Aston Villa vs. Chelsea predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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