Chelsea vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on September 11, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Aston Villa
0
3
Sep 11, 4:30PM Stamford Bridge (London)
Chelsea
Sep 11, 4:30PM Stamford Bridge (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
R. Lukaku (15')
M. Kovacic (49')
R. Lukaku (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. McGinn (Aston Villa) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
M. Targett (Aston Villa) cautioned
90'
Goal scored for Chelsea by R. Lukaku, assisted by C. Azpilicueta
0-3
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: T. Werner replaces C. Hudson-Odoi
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Nakamba replaces D. Luiz
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: B. Traore replaces D. Ings
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Azpilicueta replaces K. Havertz
61'
Yellow Card
M. Alonso (Chelsea) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bailey replaces J. Ramsey
49'
Goal scored for Chelsea by M. Kovacic
0-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: Jorginho replaces S. Niguez
28'
Yellow Card
T. Mings (Aston Villa) cautioned
15'
Goal scored for Chelsea by R. Lukaku, assisted by M. Kovacic
0-1
8'
Yellow Card
J. Ramsey (Aston Villa) cautioned

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Chelsea vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Saturday, September 11, 2021
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Chelsea -290, Aston Villa +900, Draw +450
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-161/+120)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Chelsea: 74.0%
  • Aston Villa: 9.2%
  • Draw: 16.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Chelsea 2-0 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 14%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Chelsea a win probability of 74.0%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 9.2%. The chance of a draw is 16.7%.

Summary

Our Chelsea vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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