Burnley vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on May 7, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Unlock all picks and predictions for this game
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
3
1
May 7, 2PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
Burnley
May 7, 2PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
M. Cornet (90')
D. Ings (7')
E. Buendia (31')
O. Watkins (52')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BUR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAston VillaBurnleyDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAston VillaBurnleyHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Burnley by M. Cornet, assisted by E. Pieters
3-1
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Coutinho replaces E. Buendia
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Young replaces D. Ings
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: E. Pieters replaces A. Barnes
69'
Yellow Card
J. Brownhill (Burnley) cautioned
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: C. Chukwuemeka replaces C. Chambers
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: M. Cornet replaces A. Lennon
52'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by J. McGinn
3-0
47'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: K. Long replaces J. Tarkowski
45'
Yellow Card
O. Watkins (Aston Villa) cautioned
31'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by E. Buendia, assisted by L. Digne
2-0
21'
Yellow Card
L. Digne (Aston Villa) cautioned
7'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by D. Ings, assisted by E. Buendia
1-0

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks?
Loading...

Burnley vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Saturday, May 7, 2022
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Burnley +215, Aston Villa +163, Draw +235
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+133/-130)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Burnley: 27.6%
  • Aston Villa: 46.4%
  • Draw: 26.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Burnley 1-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Burnley a win probability of 27.6%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 46.4%. The chance of a draw is 26.0%.

Summary

Our Burnley vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

Related Articles

More Articles
Liverpool vs. Arsenal Prediction, Odds, Premier League Picks [5/11/2025]
Read Article
Manchester United vs. West Ham Prediction, Odds, Premier League Picks [5/11/2025]
Read Article
Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace Prediction, Odds, Premier League Picks [5/11/2025]
Read Article
About Dimers
icon 22,000+
Events covered per year
icon 10,000,000+
Users
As seen on
USA Today iconFox Sports iconBleacher Report iconForbes iconSports Illustrated iconYahoo iconESPN iconMLS icon

Loved by our customers

imgimgimg
4.8
Google Reviews
More from Dimers