Chelsea vs. Southampton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Southampton Premier League game on October 17, 2020 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Southampton
3
:
3
Oct 17, 2PM Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
Oct 17, 2PM Stamford Bridge
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
SouthamptonSOT
Werner, Timo Chilwell, Benjamin (15')
Werner, Timo Jorginho (27')
Havertz (59')
Ings (43')
Adams (57')
Vestergaard (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
SOT
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Southampton FC's Theo Walcott misses with an attempt on goal.
90'
Ball goes out of play for a Chelsea FC goal kick.
90'
Corner awarded to Southampton FC.
90'
Throw-in for Chelsea FC in the half of Southampton FC.
90'
Goal! Jannik Vestergaard (Southampton FC) levels the score at 3-3 with a header.
3-3
90'
In London a free kick has been awarded the away team.
90'
Substitution
Chelsea FC make their third substitution with Tammy Abraham replacing Timo Werner.
90'
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
87'
Substitution
Frank Lampard is making the team's second substitution at Stamford Bridge with Reece James replacing Christian Pulisic.
87'
Substitution
The away team have replaced Oriol Romeu with Ibrahima Diallo. This is the third substitution made today by Ralph Hasenhuttl.
87'
Substitution
Ralph Hasenhuttl (Southampton FC) is making a second substitution, with Shane Long replacing Che Adams.
86'
Ball safe as Southampton FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
85'
Free kick for Chelsea FC in the half of Southampton FC.
84'
Yellow Card
Southampton FC's Oriol Romeu has been booked in London.
84'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Chelsea FC.
83'
Goal kick for Chelsea FC at Stamford Bridge.
82'
Southampton FC have a dangerous throw-in.
82'
Throw-in high up the field for Southampton FC in London.
81'
Danny Ings for Southampton FC drives towards goal at Stamford Bridge. But the finish is unsuccessful.
80'
Throw-in for Southampton FC at Stamford Bridge.
80'
Free kick for Chelsea FC in their own half.
79'
Can Southampton FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Chelsea FC's half?
78'
Southampton FC's Che Adams gets his shot away but it misses the target.
78'
Ball goes out of play for a Chelsea FC goal kick.
77'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
77'
Chelsea FC's Kai Havertz attacks the ball with his head but his effort fails to hit the target.
77'
Goal kick for Southampton FC at Stamford Bridge.
76'
Substitution
Nathan Tella is on a sub for Nathan Redmond for Southampton FC.
76'
Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
76'
Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.
74'
Can Chelsea FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Southampton FC's half?
73'
Ball safe as Chelsea FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
72'
Substitution
Hakim Ziyech is replacing Mason Mount for Chelsea FC at Stamford Bridge.
71'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in the half of Chelsea FC.
71'
Southampton FC to take a throw-in in Chelsea FC territory.
70'
Free kick for Southampton FC in their own half.
70'
Peter Bankes awards the home team a throw-in.
69'
Southampton FC surge into the attack at Stamford Bridge but Oriol Romeu’s header is off-target.
69'
Chelsea FC have a goal kick.
69'
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
67'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in their own half.
67'
Peter Bankes signals a Chelsea FC throw-in in Southampton FC's half.
67'
Southampton FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
66'
It's a goal kick for the away team in London.
66'
Chelsea FC to take a throw-in in Southampton FC territory.
65'
Peter Bankes signals a Southampton FC throw-in in Chelsea FC's half.
65'
Throw-in Southampton FC.
64'
Peter Bankes awards Southampton FC a goal kick.
64'
Southampton FC needs to be cautious. Chelsea FC have an attacking throw-in.
62'
Throw-in Southampton FC.
61'
Peter Bankes awards the home team a throw-in.
60'
It's a goal kick for the home team in London.
60'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Chelsea FC in their own half.
59'
Kai Havertz is on target to give Chelsea FC a 3-2 advantage.
2-3
57'
Goal! Che Adams levels the match at 2-2.
2-3
56'
Southampton FC drives forward and Kyle Walker-Peters gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
55'
Chelsea FC needs to be cautious. Southampton FC have an attacking throw-in.
54'
Southampton FC's Danny Ings breaks free at Stamford Bridge. But the strike goes wide of the post.
54'
Chelsea FC have a goal kick.
53'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Southampton FC.
51'
Can Chelsea FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Southampton FC's half?
51'
Throw-in for Chelsea FC in their own half.
49'
Yellow Card
At Stamford Bridge, Benjamin Chilwell has been yellow-carded for the home team.
48'
Free kick Southampton FC.
48'
Peter Bankes awards Chelsea FC a goal kick.
47'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
47'
The first-half has come to a close in London.
46'
Goal kick for Chelsea FC at Stamford Bridge.
45'
Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
45'
Throw-in for Southampton FC close to the penalty box.
44'
Can Southampton FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Chelsea FC's half?
43'
Goal! The away team reduce the deficit to 2-1 through a strike by Danny Ings. .
1-2
42'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in the half of Chelsea FC.
42'
Southampton FC have a dangerous throw-in.
41'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
40'
Ball goes out of play for a Southampton FC goal kick.
40'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in the half of Chelsea FC.
39'
In London Chelsea FC attack through Timo Werner. The finish is off target, however.
39'
Ball goes out of play for a Southampton FC goal kick.
38'
In London, Chelsea FC push forward quickly but are pulled up for offside.
36'
Can Southampton FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Chelsea FC's half?
35'
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
34'
Danny Ings of Southampton FC is pulled up for offside.
34'
Peter Bankes signals a Southampton FC throw-in in Chelsea FC's half.
33'
Chelsea FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
32'
Peter Bankes awards Southampton FC a goal kick.
32'
Throw-in for Southampton FC at Stamford Bridge.
32'
Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.
32'
Chelsea FC's Kurt Zouma goes close with his head but his effort is blocked.
31'
Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.
28'
Free kick for Chelsea FC in their own half.
28'
Ball safe as Chelsea FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
27'
Chelsea FC move into a more comfortable 2-0 lead. Timo Werner is the scorer with a header!
0-2
26'
Southampton FC have a goal kick.
26'
Chelsea FC's Kai Havertz gets in a shot on goal at Stamford Bridge. But the effort is unsuccessful.
26'
Chelsea FC to take a throw-in in Southampton FC territory.
25'
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
23'
Throw-in for Chelsea FC at Stamford Bridge.
23'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Chelsea FC in their own half.
21'
Southampton FC are in shooting range from this free kick.
20'
Peter Bankes signals a Chelsea FC throw-in in Southampton FC's half.
20'
Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
18'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Chelsea FC in their own half.
17'
Peter Bankes signals a throw-in for Southampton FC, close to Chelsea FC's area.
17'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
15'
Goal! Timo Werner gives Chelsea FC a 1-0 lead.
0-1
14'
In London Chelsea FC's Timo Werner is caught offside.
13'
Throw-in high up the field for Southampton FC in London.
12'
In London a free kick has been awarded the away team.
11'
Throw-in for Chelsea FC in the half of Southampton FC.
10'
Peter Bankes awards the home team a throw-in.
9'
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
9'
Southampton FC's Che Adams is on target but unsuccessful.
8'
Chelsea FC are pushing forward but Timo Werner's finish is wide of the goal.
8'
Goal kick for Southampton FC at Stamford Bridge.
6'
Ball safe as Chelsea FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
6'
Christian Pulisic (Chelsea FC) wins the ball in the air but heads wide.
6'
It's a goal kick for the away team in London.
5'
Free kick for Chelsea FC in their own half.
5'
Throw-in Chelsea FC.
4'
Free kick for Southampton FC in the half of Chelsea FC.
3'
Peter Bankes blows against Chelsea FC's Kai Havertz for offside.
3'
Kai Havertz gets his shot on target but fails to score for Chelsea FC.
3'
In London Chelsea FC drive forward through Benjamin Chilwell. His shot is on target but it's saved.
2'
Can Chelsea FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Southampton FC's half?
2'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in their own half.
1'
Southampton FC to take a throw-in in Chelsea FC territory.
1'
Chelsea FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
1'
The first-half is now underway.
Match Stats
Southampton
MATCH STATS
Chelsea
11 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 7
47% Possession % 53%
8 Fouls 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
2 Corners 6
Southampton[object Object]
Chelsea[object Object]
11 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 7
47% Possession % 53%
8 Fouls 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
2 Corners 6

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Chelsea vs. Southampton: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Southampton
  • Date: Saturday, October 17, 2020
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Chelsea: 59.9%
  • Southampton: 18.1%
  • Draw: 22.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Chelsea 2-1 Southampton, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Chelsea a win probability of 59.9%, while Southampton has a win probability of 18.1%. The chance of a draw is 22.0%.

Summary

Our Chelsea vs. Southampton predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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