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Brighton vs. Leeds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brighton vs. Leeds Premier League game on May 1, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Leeds
0
2
May 1, 2PM American Express Community Stadium
Brighton
May 1, 2PM American Express Community Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
LeedsLU
Gross (14') (P)
Welbeck (80')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BHA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
LU
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Corner awarded to Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
90'
Substitution
Alexis MacAllister is replacing Yves Bissouma for Brighton & Hove Albion FC at American Express Community Stadium.
90'
Free kick for Leeds United in their own half.
90'
Substitution
Brighton & Hove Albion FC make their second substitution with Jakub Moder replacing Danny Welbeck.
90'
Chris Kavanagh awards the away team a throw-in.
89'
Adam Webster (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) gets up for a header but cannot keep the ball on target.
89'
Chris Kavanagh awards Leeds United a goal kick.
88'
Yellow Card
Luke Ayling (Leeds United) has been booked and must now be careful not to get a second yellow card.
88'
Free kick for Brighton & Hove Albion FC in the half of Leeds United.
86'
Chris Kavanagh signals a free kick to Leeds United in their own half.
85'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
84'
Throw-in for Brighton & Hove Albion FC in their own half.
84'
Throw-in for Leeds United at American Express Community Stadium.
83'
Mateusz Klich of Leeds United gets in a strike, but is off target.
83'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC have a goal kick.
82'
Chris Kavanagh signals a free kick to Leeds United.
81'
Substitution
Alireza Jahanbakhsh is on a sub for Leandro Trossard for Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
81'
Leeds United to take a throw-in in Brighton & Hove Albion FC territory.
80'
Substitution
Marcelo Bielsa (Leeds United) is making a third substitution, with Pablo Hernandez replacing Diego Llorente.
80'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC take a comfortable 2-0 lead thanks to Danny Welbeck.
0-2
79'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC's Yves Bissouma misses with an attempt on goal.
79'
Ball goes out of play for a Leeds United goal kick.
77'
Throw-in Leeds United.
76'
Leeds United are pushing forward but Stuart Dallas's finish is wide of the goal.
76'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC have a goal kick.
76'
Yellow Card
Leandro Trossard for Brighton & Hove Albion FC has been booked by Chris Kavanagh and receives a first yellow card.
76'
Free kick Leeds United.
75'
Leeds United awarded a free kick in their own half.
74'
In Falmer a free kick has been awarded the away team.
72'
Can Leeds United get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Brighton & Hove Albion FC's half?
71'
Goal kick for Leeds United at American Express Community Stadium.
70'
Leeds United needs to be cautious. Brighton & Hove Albion FC have an attacking throw-in.
70'
Ball safe as Leeds United is awarded a throw-in in their half.
70'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to take a throw-in in Leeds United territory.
69'
Throw-in for Leeds United at American Express Community Stadium.
69'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Falmer.
67'
Ball safe as Leeds United is awarded a throw-in in their half.
67'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC are coming forward and Neal Maupay gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
67'
Chris Kavanagh awards Leeds United a goal kick.
64'
Chris Kavanagh blows against Leeds United's Luke Ayling for offside.
64'
Chris Kavanagh awards the home team a throw-in.
63'
Throw-in for Leeds United close to the penalty box.
62'
Throw-in for Leeds United in their own half.
62'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC attack but Danny Welbeck's header doesn't find the target.
62'
Chris Kavanagh awards Leeds United a goal kick.
61'
Chris Kavanagh signals a free kick to Brighton & Hove Albion FC in their own half.
60'
Substitution
Rodrigo Moreno is replacing Patrick Bamford for the away team.
59'
Free kick for Leeds United in their own half.
58'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Falmer.
56'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
54'
Ball goes out of play for a Brighton & Hove Albion FC goal kick.
53'
Free kick for Leeds United in their own half.
53'
Leeds United awarded a free kick in their own half.
52'
Goal kick for Leeds United at American Express Community Stadium.
52'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC's Danny Welbeck gets in a shot on goal at American Express Community Stadium. But the effort is unsuccessful.
51'
Chris Kavanagh signals a free kick to Brighton & Hove Albion FC in their own half.
51'
Chris Kavanagh signals a Leeds United throw-in in Brighton & Hove Albion FC's half.
49'
Throw-in Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
48'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC have a goal kick.
48'
Leeds United have been awarded a corner by Chris Kavanagh.
47'
Throw-in for Leeds United in the half of Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
47'
Chris Kavanagh signals a Brighton & Hove Albion FC throw-in in Leeds United's half.
46'
Joel Veltman for Brighton & Hove Albion FC gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
46'
Leeds United have a goal kick.
46'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC have a dangerous throw-in.
45'
Substitution
The away team replace Ezgjan Alioski with Ian Poveda.
45'
Chris Kavanagh blows to end the first-half.
45'
Throw-in high up the field for Brighton & Hove Albion FC in Falmer.
45'
Free kick for Leeds United in their own half.
45'
Leeds United awarded a throw-in in their own half.
44'
Leeds United to take a throw-in in Brighton & Hove Albion FC territory.
43'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC needs to be cautious. Leeds United have an attacking throw-in.
42'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC's Danny Welbeck breaks free at American Express Community Stadium. But the strike goes wide of the post.
42'
Chris Kavanagh awards Leeds United a goal kick.
42'
Goal kick for Leeds United at American Express Community Stadium.
41'
Throw-in for Leeds United in the half of Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
40'
In Falmer Brighton & Hove Albion FC attack through Leandro Trossard. The finish is off target, however.
40'
Ball goes out of play for a Leeds United goal kick.
40'
Throw-in Leeds United.
39'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC's Lewis Dunk looks ok and returns to the pitch.
39'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
38'
Play has been temporarily suspended for attention to Lewis Dunk for Brighton & Hove Albion FC who is writhing in pain on the pitch.
38'
Corner awarded to Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
37'
Can Brighton & Hove Albion FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Leeds United's half?
37'
Can Brighton & Hove Albion FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Leeds United's half?
36'
Chris Kavanagh signals a free kick to Leeds United in their own half.
35'
Leeds United have been awarded a corner by Chris Kavanagh.
35'
Corner awarded to Leeds United.
34'
Can Leeds United get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Brighton & Hove Albion FC's half?
34'
Corner awarded to Leeds United.
33'
Leeds United have been awarded a corner by Chris Kavanagh.
31'
Throw-in for Brighton & Hove Albion FC in the half of Leeds United.
30'
Leeds United awarded a throw-in in their own half.
29'
Leeds United's Jack Harrison gets his shot away but it misses the target.
29'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Falmer.
28'
Throw-in for Leeds United at American Express Community Stadium.
26'
Leeds United awarded a free kick in their own half.
26'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
25'
Leeds United have been awarded a corner by Chris Kavanagh.
22'
Leeds United's Jack Harrison is on target but unsuccessful.
22'
Corner awarded to Leeds United.
20'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC have a goal kick.
20'
Diego Llorente for Leeds United gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
18'
Leeds United have been awarded a corner by Chris Kavanagh.
15'
Ball goes out of play for a Leeds United goal kick.
14'
Pascal Gross converts the penalty to give Brighton & Hove Albion FC a 1-0 lead.
0-1
12'
Chris Kavanagh signals a free kick to Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
12'
Throw-in for Leeds United in their own half.
11'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
10'
Free kick for Leeds United in their own half.
9'
Corner awarded to Leeds United.
8'
Free kick for Leeds United in the half of Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
8'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC pushes forward through Leandro Trossard, whose finish on goal is saved.
7'
Leandro Trossard for Brighton & Hove Albion FC drives towards goal at American Express Community Stadium. But the finish is unsuccessful.
6'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to take a throw-in in Leeds United territory.
5'
Ball safe as Leeds United is awarded a throw-in in their half.
5'
Chris Kavanagh awards Brighton & Hove Albion FC a goal kick.
5'
Chris Kavanagh signals a free kick to Leeds United in their own half.
4'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Falmer.
3'
Chris Kavanagh signals a throw-in for Brighton & Hove Albion FC, close to Leeds United's area.
3'
Chris Kavanagh awards the away team a throw-in.
2'
Chris Kavanagh signals a Brighton & Hove Albion FC throw-in in Leeds United's half.
2'
Free kick Leeds United.
1'
Goal kick for Leeds United at American Express Community Stadium.
1'
The first-half is just kicking off.
Match Stats
Leeds
 MATCH STATS
Brighton
8 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 5
61% Possession % 39%
5 Fouls 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
9 Corners 2
Leeds[object Object]
Brighton[object Object]
8 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 5
61% Possession % 39%
5 Fouls 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
9 Corners 2
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Brighton vs. Leeds: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Leeds
  • Date: Saturday, May 1, 2021
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: American Express Community Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Brighton +105, Leeds +275, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-103/-115)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Brighton: 50.0%
  • Leeds: 23.9%
  • Draw: 26.1%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Brighton 1-1 Leeds, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Brighton a win probability of 50.0%, while Leeds has a win probability of 23.9%. The chance of a draw is 26.1%.

Summary

Our Brighton vs. Leeds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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