Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Manchester City vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on January 20, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
0
2
Jan 20, 6PM Etihad Stadium
Manchester City
Jan 20, 6PM Etihad Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Manchester CityMNC
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
Silva (79')
Gundogan (90') (P)
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MNC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Jon Moss signals a free kick to Manchester City FC in their own half.
90'
In Manchester a free kick has been awarded the away team.
90'
Goal! The home team extend their lead to 2-0 thanks to a penalty from Ilkay Gundogan.
0-2
89'
Corner awarded to Manchester City FC.
89'
Manchester City FC pushes forward through Joao Cancelo, whose finish on goal is saved.
88'
Throw-in for Manchester City FC at Etihad Stadium.
86'
Yellow Card
Neil Taylor (Aston Villa FC) has been booked and must now be careful not to get a second yellow card.
86'
Free kick for Manchester City FC in their own half.
85'
Aston Villa FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
83'
Can Aston Villa FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Manchester City FC's half?
82'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in the half of Manchester City FC.
79'
Goal! The home team take a 1-0 lead through Bernardo Silva.
0-1
79'
Throw-in Manchester City FC.
78'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
78'
Jon Moss awards the away team a throw-in.
77'
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Jon Moss.
77'
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Jon Moss.
76'
Throw-in for Manchester City FC in their own half.
76'
Aston Villa FC have a dangerous throw-in.
75'
Aston Villa FC advance rapidly upfield but Jon Moss blows for offside.
75'
Substitution
Matt Targett (Aston Villa FC) does not seem to be able to continue. He is replaced by Neil Taylor.
74'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
74'
Matt Targett is back on the pitch.
73'
The match has been stopped briefly for attention to the injured Matt Targett.
72'
Substitution
The home team replace Raheem Sterling with Riyad Mahrez.
72'
Manchester City FC's Gabriel Jesus has run offside.
70'
Corner awarded to Manchester City FC.
70'
Manchester City FC's Ilkay Gundogan goes close with his head but his effort is blocked.
69'
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Jon Moss.
68'
Substitution
Dean Smith is making the team's second substitution at Etihad Stadium with Jacob Ramsey replacing Ross Barkley.
68'
Substitution
The away team have replaced Bertrand Traore with Anwar El Ghazi. This is the first substitution made today by Dean Smith.
67'
Jon Moss signals a free kick to Manchester City FC in their own half.
67'
Aston Villa FC's Douglas Luiz gets in a shot on goal at Etihad Stadium. But the effort is unsuccessful.
66'
Yellow Card
Aston Villa FC's Douglas Luiz has been booked in Manchester.
65'
Jon Moss signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC just outside Manchester City FC's area.
64'
In Manchester Aston Villa FC drive forward through Douglas Luiz. His shot is on target but it's saved.
63'
Manchester City FC's Ilkay Gundogan breaks free at Etihad Stadium. But the strike goes wide of the post.
63'
Aston Villa FC have a goal kick.
60'
Aston Villa FC are in shooting range from this free kick.
59'
Throw-in for Manchester City FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.
59'
Substitution
Gabriel Jesus is replacing Kevin De Bruyne for Manchester City FC at Etihad Stadium.
58'
In Manchester Manchester City FC attack through Phil Foden. The finish is off target, however.
58'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Manchester.
57'
Manchester City FC to take a throw-in in Aston Villa FC territory.
57'
Throw-in for Manchester City FC close to the penalty box.
56'
Manchester City FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
55'
In Manchester a free kick has been awarded the home team.
54'
Kevin De Bruyne (Manchester City FC) strikes – and hits the bar! Ohhhh so close!
54'
Ball goes out of play for a Aston Villa FC goal kick.
53'
In Manchester Manchester City FC drive forward through Kevin De Bruyne. His shot is on target but it's saved.
52'
Bertrand Traore for Aston Villa FC drives towards goal at Etihad Stadium. But the finish is unsuccessful.
52'
Corner awarded to Manchester City FC.
51'
Manchester City FC are coming forward and Ilkay Gundogan gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
51'
Goal kick for Aston Villa FC at Etihad Stadium.
48'
Jon Moss signals a Manchester City FC throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half.
45'
Jon Moss blows to end the first-half.
45'
Can Manchester City FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half?
45'
Corner awarded to Aston Villa FC.
44'
Ball safe as Manchester City FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
43'
Phil Foden (Manchester City FC) gets in a header on goal but the attempt is cleared.
42'
Throw-in for Manchester City FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.
41'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
40'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
39'
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Jon Moss.
39'
Corner awarded to Manchester City FC.
37'
Aston Villa FC's Ross Barkley gets in a shot on goal at Etihad Stadium. But the effort is unsuccessful.
37'
Aston Villa FC to take a throw-in in Manchester City FC territory.
36'
Bernardo Silva for the home team is judged to be offside.
35'
Free kick Aston Villa FC.
34'
Jon Moss awards Aston Villa FC a goal kick.
32'
Goal kick for Aston Villa FC at Etihad Stadium.
30'
Manchester City FC drive forward but Bernardo Silva is judged offside.
30'
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Jon Moss.
30'
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Jon Moss.
29'
Aston Villa FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
28'
Substitution
Olexandr Zinchenko (Manchester City FC) has replaced the possibly injured Kyle Walker.
27'
Ball goes out of play for a Manchester City FC goal kick.
27'
Aston Villa FC are pushing forward but Bertrand Traore's finish is wide of the goal.
26'
Corner awarded to Aston Villa FC.
23'
Rodri gets his shot on target but fails to score for Manchester City FC.
23'
Corner awarded to Manchester City FC.
22'
Kyle Walker returns to the field for Manchester City FC after picking up a slight injury.
20'
Play has been interrupted briefly in Manchester to check on Kyle Walker, who is grimacing with pain.
19'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC at Etihad Stadium.
18'
Manchester City FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
17'
Throw-in Manchester City FC.
16'
Aston Villa FC have a goal kick.
16'
Jon Moss signals a free kick to Manchester City FC in their own half.
15'
Jon Moss awards the home team a throw-in.
14'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
14'
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Jon Moss.
13'
Manchester City FC's Joao Cancelo gets his shot away but it misses the target.
13'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Manchester.
11'
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Jon Moss.
10'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
9'
Corner awarded to Manchester City FC.
8'
Throw-in high up the field for Manchester City FC in Manchester.
7'
Ball safe as Aston Villa FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
6'
Manchester City FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
5'
Can Aston Villa FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Manchester City FC's half?
5'
Jon Moss signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
5'
Corner awarded to Manchester City FC.
4'
Bernardo Silva of Manchester City FC smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
4'
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Jon Moss.
3'
Jon Moss signals a free kick to Manchester City FC.
1'
Jon Moss signals a Aston Villa FC throw-in in Manchester City FC's half.
1'
Today's referee, Jon Moss, has blown to start the match.
Match Stats
Aston Villa
MATCH STATS
Manchester City
9 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 8
26% Possession % 74%
8 Fouls 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
2 Corners 16
Aston Villa[object Object]
Manchester City[object Object]
9 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 8
26% Possession % 74%
8 Fouls 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
2 Corners 16

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Manchester City vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Manchester City vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Wednesday, January 20, 2021
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Etihad Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Manchester City -345, Aston Villa +900, Draw +500

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Manchester City: 76.3%
  • Aston Villa: 8.6%
  • Draw: 15.1%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Manchester City 2-0 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Manchester City a win probability of 76.3%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 8.6%. The chance of a draw is 15.1%.

Summary

Our Manchester City vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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