Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Thunder NBA game on May 15, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
104
92
May 16, 1:30AM Paycom Center
May 16, 1:30AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 24 | 30 | 25 | 25 | 104 |
Thunder | 22 | 22 | 23 | 25 | 92 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
93%
7%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 24 | 30 | 25 | 25 | 104 |
Thunder | 22 | 22 | 23 | 25 | 92 |
Q4 00:15 A.J. Lawson blocks Ousmane Dieng's three point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 00:42 Josh Giddey makes two point cutting layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
Q4 00:54 Luka Doncic blocks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's two point running layup
Q4 00:59 Chet Holmgren blocks Dereck Lively II's two point jump shot
Q4 1:12 Chet Holmgren makes two point tip dunk
Q4 1:13 Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Luka Doncic misses three point fadeaway jump shot
Q4 1:49 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point fadeaway jump shot
Q4 2:01 Derrick Jones Jr. makes two point running dunk (Luka Doncic assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
A.J. Lawson blocks Ousmane Dieng's three point jump shot
Cason Wallace personal foul (Dereck Lively II draws the foul)
Mavericks offensive rebound
Dereck Lively II misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-92
Mavericks lineup change (A.J. Lawson, Dante Exum, Jaden Hardy, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dereck Lively II)
Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-92
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Dereck Lively II draws the foul)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-92
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point cutting layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
101-92
Derrick Jones Jr. kicked ball violation
Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+1
Derrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-90
Jalen Williams personal foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Derrick Jones Jr., Tim Hardaway Jr., P.J. Washington, Dereck Lively II)
+1
Derrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-90
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Luka Doncic blocks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's two point running layup
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Dereck Lively II's two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point tip dunk
99-90
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point fadeaway jump shot
99-88
+2
Derrick Jones Jr. makes two point running dunk (Luka Doncic assists)
99-86
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Derrick Jones Jr. blocks Chet Holmgren's three point jump shot
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-86
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
96-86
Jalen Williams personal foul (Dereck Lively II draws the foul)
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point running jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Luguentz Dort personal foul (Dereck Lively II draws the foul)
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Luka Doncic)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-86
Luka Doncic shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
Thunder offensive rebound
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point putback dunk
95-85
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks P.J. Washington's three point jump shot
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point pullup jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)
93-85
+3
P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
93-83
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point driving dunk (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
90-83
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-81
Mavericks offensive rebound
Luguentz Dort turnover (bad pass) (Kyrie Irving steals)
Luka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Luguentz Dort steals)
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point driving layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
89-81
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Kyrie Irving misses two point pullup jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, Luka Doncic)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Chet Holmgren assists)
89-79
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point dunk (Luguentz Dort assists)
89-76
Tim Hardaway Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, Luka Doncic)
P.J. Washington turnover (traveling)
Thunder personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, Luka Doncic)
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point running jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot
+3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point stepback jump shot
89-74
Luka Doncic personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)
89-71
Kyrie Irving offensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort personal foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot
86-71
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point driving layup
84-71
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Luguentz Dort shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
83-69
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
84-69
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point cutting layup (Aaron Wiggins assists)
81-69
P.J. Washington turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins misses two point driving reverse layup
Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
81-67
Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Luka Doncic)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Mavericks offensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot
79-67
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
76-67
Jaden Hardy shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving floating jump shot
76-66
Dereck Lively II turnover (offensive foul)
Dereck Lively II offensive foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point stepback jump shot
+2
Dereck Lively II makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jaden Hardy assists)
76-64
+2
Aaron Wiggins makes two point running layup
74-64
Dereck Lively II turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Wiggins steals)
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Green, Dwight Powell, P.J. Washington, Dereck Lively II, Daniel Gafford)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Derrick Jones Jr., P.J. Washington, Dereck Lively II, Luka Doncic)
Cason Wallace personal foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
74-62
+3
Kyrie Irving makes three point jump shot (Daniel Gafford assists)
74-60
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Cason Wallace misses two point driving floating jump shot
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
Daniel Gafford turnover (offensive foul)
Daniel Gafford offensive foul (Charge) (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+3
Cason Wallace makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)
71-60
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Kyrie Irving misses two point bank jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Green, Jaden Hardy, Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-57
Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Dereck Lively II shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Thunder offensive rebound
+3
Josh Green makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)
71-56
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Josh Giddey misses three point jump shot
Kyrie Irving personal foul (Josh Giddey draws the foul)
Kyrie Irving turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Williams steals)
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point cutting layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
68-56
Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
P.J. Washington technical foul (Defensive three second)
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Green, Jaden Hardy, P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 1
68-54
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot (Dereck Lively II assists)
68-53
Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
Kyrie Irving offensive rebound
Kyrie Irving misses two point tip layup
Josh Green misses three point jump shot
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving floating jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
65-53
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Josh Green assists)
65-51
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup
62-51
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point driving dunk (Josh Green assists)
62-49
Josh Green offensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Green, P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Luka Doncic)
Luguentz Dort personal foul (Dereck Lively II draws the foul)
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Derrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point stepback jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point pullup jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Luka Doncic)
Derrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)
Thunder offensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point layup (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)
60-49
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Derrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving finger roll layup
58-49
P.J. Washington turnover (bad pass) (Luguentz Dort steals)
Thunder turnover
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
+2
Kyrie Irving makes two point driving layup (P.J. Washington assists)
58-47
+3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)
56-47
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point driving floating jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
56-44
Chet Holmgren turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Washington steals)
End of 1st Half.
Mavericks lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, Luka Doncic)
Thunder offensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses three point pullup jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive goaltending violation
+2
Josh Green makes two point layup
54-44
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Josh Green misses three point jump shot
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point driving dunk
52-44
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
52-42
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving layup
52-39
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point fadeaway jump shot
50-39
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Kyrie Irving misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
50-37
Thunder turnover
Luka Doncic turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Williams steals)
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)
50-35
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
Josh Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-35
Daniel Gafford shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-34
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point layup (Luka Doncic assists)
47-33
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Green, P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, Luka Doncic)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point running jump shot
Jaden Hardy turnover (bad pass) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
+3
Derrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)
45-33
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Cason Wallace misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Derrick Jones Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Luka Doncic assists)
42-33
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving reverse layup
40-33
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Jaylin Williams personal foul (Loose ball) (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point floating jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
40-31
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses two point driving floating jump shot
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-28
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-29
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Derrick Jones Jr., P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Luka Doncic)
Derrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point running layup (P.J. Washington assists)
40-27
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (Dereck Lively II steals)
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Derrick Jones Jr., P.J. Washington, Dereck Lively II, Luka Doncic)
Dereck Lively II personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+3
Kyrie Irving makes three point jump shot
38-27
Derrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound
Dereck Lively II blocks Luguentz Dort's two point driving layup
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Luka Doncic)
Luguentz Dort misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover (shot clock violation)
Thunder offensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point driving layup
+2
Dereck Lively II makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Luka Doncic assists)
35-27
Thunder 60 second timeout
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Josh Giddey misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive goaltending violation
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving layup
33-27
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses three point jump shot
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)
31-27
+3
Josh Giddey makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
28-27
+2
Dereck Lively II makes two point alley-oop dunk (Luka Doncic assists)
28-24
+2
Luguentz Dort makes two point driving layup
26-24
+2
Kyrie Irving makes two point stepback jump shot
26-22
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point turnaround jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
End of 1st Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Luka Doncic)
Josh Green defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Josh Giddey misses two point driving floating jump shot
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving floating jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot
24-22
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jaden Hardy assists)
24-20
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point turnaround jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Kyrie Irving misses two point driving floating jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Green, Jaden Hardy, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford)
+3
Jaylin Williams makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)
22-20
Josh Giddey offensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Derrick Jones Jr. makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Luka Doncic assists)
22-17
Aaron Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Josh Green steals)
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point floating jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)
20-17
+2
Jaden Hardy makes two point driving floating jump shot
20-15
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point turnaround jump shot
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Green, Jaden Hardy, Derrick Jones Jr., Daniel Gafford, Luka Doncic)
Jalen Williams shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-15
Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+2
Luguentz Dort makes two point running dunk (Jalen Williams assists)
17-15
Dereck Lively II turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Williams steals)
Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Green, Jaden Hardy, Derrick Jones Jr., Dereck Lively II, Luka Doncic)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
Josh Green misses three point running jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot
17-13
Isaiah Joe personal foul (Josh Green draws the foul)
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
14-13
+3
Derrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
14-10
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
11-10
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Luka Doncic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (traveling)
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point pullup jump shot (Josh Green assists)
11-8
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Derrick Jones Jr. makes two point floating jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)
9-8
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Green, Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Luka Doncic)
P.J. Washington personal foul (Jalen Williams draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Luka Doncic)
Mavericks lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Luka Doncic)
Daniel Gafford personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
+2
Kyrie Irving makes two point driving bank hook shot
7-8
Isaiah Joe personal foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Daniel Gafford blocks Chet Holmgren's two point cutting dunk
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
+3
Derrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
5-8
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving dunk
2-8
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
2-6
Thunder defensive rebound
Kyrie Irving personal foul (Loose ball) (Jalen Williams draws the foul)
Kyrie Irving turnover (offensive foul)
P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
+3
Chet Holmgren makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
2-3
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot
2-0
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)
P.J. Washington personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Kyrie Irving misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., P.J. Washington, Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, Luka Doncic)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Daniel Gafford vs. Chet Holmgren (P.J. Washington gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | D. Exum | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C | 2 | D. Lively II | 11 | 10 | 1 |
| G | 9 | A. Lawson | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G-F | 10 | T. Hardaway Jr. | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 1 | J. Hardy | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 22 | C. Wallace | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 21 | A. Wiggins | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 11 | I. Joe | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| F | 13 | O. Dieng | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 6 | J. Williams | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Game Prediction Article
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Mavericks vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Thunder
- Date: Wednesday, May 15, 2024
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 213.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +165, Thunder -185
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 34%
- Thunder: 66%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 104-109 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 34%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 66%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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