Celtics vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Celtics vs. Heat NBA game on April 29, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
102
88
Apr 29, 11:30PM Kaseya Center
Apr 29, 11:30PM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 34 | 19 | 28 | 21 | 102 |
Heat | 24 | 12 | 23 | 29 | 88 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 34 | 19 | 28 | 21 | 102 |
Heat | 24 | 12 | 23 | 29 | 88 |
Q4 00:06 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:50 Celtics makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:10 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:58 Celtics makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:25 Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:46 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:48 Heat misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
102-88
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
102-85
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
99-85
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
99-83
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
99-81
Celtics personal foul
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-80
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-81
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-79
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
97-78
Celtics 60 second timeout
Heat turnover
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
95-78
Celtics defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Delon Wright defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Instant replay
Instant replay
Heat personal foul
Al Horford technical foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
92-78
Tyler Herro misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Celtics defensive rebound
+1
Jayson Tatum makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
93-78
Celtics 60 second timeout
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
91-78
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
91-76
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
91-74
Celtics turnover
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Caleb Martin, Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
91-71
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Tyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
89-71
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
86-70
Celtics personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
86-71
Celtics personal foul
Celtics lineup change (Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
Heat turnover
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
86-68
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Payton Pritchard, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
86-66
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
86-64
Heat personal foul
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
83-64
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
83-61
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Patty Mills misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Patty Mills makes regular free throw 2 of 3
81-60
+1
Patty Mills makes regular free throw 3 of 3
81-61
Celtics personal foul
Jaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Caleb Martin, Delon Wright, Kevin Love, Tyler Herro)
Celtics lineup change (Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Payton Pritchard, Jaylen Brown, Sam Hauser)
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
81-59
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
81-56
Celtics violation
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point putback layup
81-59
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
79-56
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
79-56
Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Caleb Martin, Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
79-53
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo turnover (lost ball)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
77-53
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
76-50
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-50
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
75-49
Celtics personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
75-50
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
75-47
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-47
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Patty Mills, Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Celtics lineup change (Luke Kornet, Jayson Tatum, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Sam Hauser)
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-47
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
71-47
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
71-45
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
69-45
Al Horford offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
66-45
Patty Mills offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
66-43
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith)
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
64-43
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
62-43
Celtics personal foul
Heat offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
62-41
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
60-41
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
Celtics personal foul
Celtics turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
58-41
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith)
Heat personal foul
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
Celtics turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
58-38
Celtics turnover
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
Celtics 60 second timeout
Instant replay
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
58-36
Heat turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
55-36
Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
53-36
Heat violation
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
51-36
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
48-36
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
48-33
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Celtics offensive rebound
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-31
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Celtics personal foul
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Celtics personal foul
Al Horford turnover (offensive foul)
Celtics defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith)
Celtics lineup change (Al Horford, Kristaps Porzingis, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
47-31
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith)
Celtics turnover
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
44-31
Celtics lineup change (Al Horford, Jayson Tatum, Payton Pritchard, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Celtics defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
41-31
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
41-29
Delon Wright offensive rebound
Heat turnover
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Caleb Martin, Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Celtics lineup change (Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Payton Pritchard, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics lineup change (Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Sam Hauser)
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Caleb Martin, Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Delon Wright defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin, Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
39-29
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
39-26
Celtics personal foul
+1
Haywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 1 of 1
39-27
Celtics lineup change (Jrue Holiday, Kristaps Porzingis, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Sam Hauser)
Celtics turnover
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics defensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
Heat personal foul
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Heat turnover
Celtics personal foul
Celtics lineup change (Jrue Holiday, Kristaps Porzingis, Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, Sam Hauser)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
39-24
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
37-24
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Celtics lineup change (Jrue Holiday, Kristaps Porzingis, Jayson Tatum, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Patty Mills, Delon Wright, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
34-24
Celtics lineup change (Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White)
Celtics personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Patty Mills, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith)
Delon Wright defensive rebound
Payton Pritchard misses two point tip layup
Payton Pritchard offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
34-22
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
34-20
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
31-20
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
30-18
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-18
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Patty Mills, Delon Wright, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Delon Wright defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
29-18
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Al Horford offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
29-16
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
29-14
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point putback layup
29-16
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics turnover
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-14
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith)
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat turnover
Celtics lineup change (Al Horford, Payton Pritchard, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Sam Hauser)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
23-14
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-14
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
20-12
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Derrick White makes three point jump shot
18-12
Heat turnover
Heat 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Al Horford, Kristaps Porzingis, Payton Pritchard, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Caleb Martin, Kevin Love, Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-12
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
15-12
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
13-12
Celtics personal foul
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
13-10
Derrick White offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
11-10
Heat personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-8
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-8
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-8
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
9-6
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
7-6
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
+3
Derrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)
7-3
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
4-3
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point running layup
Celtics turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
2-3
Heat personal foul
+1
Jrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 2
1-0
+1
Jrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-0
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Celtics lineup change (Jrue Holiday, Kristaps Porzingis, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
(Derrick White gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 0 | J. Tatum | 20 | 10 | 5 |
| G | 4 | J. Holiday | 11 | 6 | 6 |
| C-F | 42 | A. Horford | 7 | 8 | 2 |
| F | 7 | J. Brown | 17 | 5 | 2 |
| G | 9 | D. White | 38 | 4 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 88 | P. Mills | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 25 | 17 | 5 |
| G | 14 | T. Herro | 19 | 4 | 4 |
| G | 4 | D. Wright | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 16 | C. Martin | 18 | 5 | 2 |
Game Prediction Article
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Celtics vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Celtics vs. Heat
- Date: Monday, April 29, 2024
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Celtics favored at -10.5
- Total (Over/Under): 205.5
- Moneyline Odds: Celtics -510, Heat +400
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Celtics: 79%
- Heat: 21%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Celtics 107-98 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Celtics a win probability of 79%, while the Heat have a win probability of 21%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Celtics vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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