Mavericks vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Heat NBA game on April 10, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
111
92
Apr 10, 11:30PM Kaseya Center
Apr 10, 11:30PM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 33 | 36 | 19 | 23 | 111 |
Heat | 24 | 23 | 27 | 18 | 92 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 33 | 36 | 19 | 23 | 111 |
Heat | 24 | 23 | 27 | 18 | 92 |
Q4 00:20 Cole Swider misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:27 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:33 Alondes Williams misses two point driving finger roll layup
Q4 00:49 Jaden Hardy misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Patty Mills makes two point driving finger roll layup (Cole Swider assists)
Q4 1:08 Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point running dunk (A.J. Lawson assists)
Q4 1:14 Caleb Martin misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point pullup jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
Q4 2:20 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:45 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
A.J. Lawson defensive rebound
Cole Swider misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
111-92
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
Alondes Williams misses two point driving finger roll layup
Jaden Hardy turnover (offensive foul)
Jaden Hardy offensive foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jamal Cain turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaden Hardy misses two point jump shot
+2
Patty Mills makes two point driving finger roll layup (Cole Swider assists)
109-92
+2
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point running dunk (A.J. Lawson assists)
109-90
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Cole Swider, Jamal Cain, Patty Mills, Alondes Williams, Orlando Robinson)
A.J. Lawson defensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses two point jump shot
+2
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point pullup jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
107-90
Tyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)
Luka Doncic offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
Luka Doncic turnover (offensive foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Brandon Williams, A.J. Lawson, Jaden Hardy, Markieff Morris)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
105-90
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Maxi Kleber, Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Kevin Love)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
103-90
Heat personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-88
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-88
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)
Derrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat turnover
Caleb Martin misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Maxi Kleber, Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
101-88
Heat personal foul
Heat turnover
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
99-88
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Patty Mills, Haywood Highsmith)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
99-86
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Daniel Gafford blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving finger roll layup
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Derrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Derrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-86
Derrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Kevin Love turnover (lost ball) (Daniel Gafford steals)
Kevin Love defensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
96-86
Heat personal foul
P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
94-86
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Kevin Love misses two point tip layup
Kevin Love offensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
94-83
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
92-83
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Mavericks turnover
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Dante Exum steals)
Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving)
Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving)
Mavericks personal foul
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
92-80
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
90-80
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Daniel Gafford blocks Kevin Love's two point driving layup
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)
92-80
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
88-77
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Josh Green, Kyrie Irving)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith)
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
88-74
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
88-72
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Josh Green misses two point cutting layup
Heat personal foul
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Green, Tim Hardaway Jr., Maxi Kleber, Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kevin Love, Patty Mills, Haywood Highsmith)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
85-72
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Josh Green defensive rebound
Haywood Highsmith misses two point running finger roll layup
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
85-70
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Dante Exum offensive rebound
Josh Green misses two point tip layup
Josh Green offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Dante Exum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith)
Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, Josh Green, Tim Hardaway Jr., Maxi Kleber, Luka Doncic)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-68
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
84-68
+2
Maxi Kleber makes two point tip layup
84-68
Maxi Kleber offensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
82-65
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
82-62
Kevin Love defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
Heat violation
Heat personal foul
Caleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)
Mavericks turnover
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Kevin Love)
Derrick Jones Jr. blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving hook shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
82-60
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
79-59
Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Maxi Kleber, Derrick Jones Jr., Luka Doncic)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-60
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
79-58
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
79-56
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Daniel Gafford blocks Nikola Jovic's two point driving layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
76-56
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
76-54
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 3
74-52
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 3
74-53
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 3
74-54
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Nikola Jovic makes two point tip layup
74-51
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
74-49
Heat personal foul
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
72-49
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
69-49
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point pullup jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
69-47
End of 1st Half.
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
67-47
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
67-44
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Kyrie Irving defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
67-42
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-42
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-42
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point putback layup
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Maxi Kleber makes regular free throw 1 of 2
61-42
+1
Maxi Kleber makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-42
Heat personal foul
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-41
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Josh Green, Maxi Kleber, Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin)
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-42
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point fadeaway jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Haywood Highsmith makes two point putback layup
61-42
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
60-38
Heat turnover
Mavericks personal foul
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
58-38
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
55-38
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
53-38
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
51-38
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
51-36
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
48-36
Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic)
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-36
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-36
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
47-34
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses two point running layup
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
45-34
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
45-31
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
42-31
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
42-29
Heat 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
40-29
Heat turnover
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
37-29
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Josh Green defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point running dunk
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kevin Love, Patty Mills)
Heat personal foul
Heat turnover
Mavericks personal foul
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
37-26
Jimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
35-26
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Patty Mills makes regular free throw 1 of 2
33-25
+1
Patty Mills makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-26
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
33-24
Instant replay
End of 1st Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Josh Green, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving)
Josh Green defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
31-24
Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Mavericks turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
28-23
+3
Patty Mills makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
33-24
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Josh Green, Maxi Kleber, Kyrie Irving)
Heat turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, Josh Green, Tim Hardaway Jr., Maxi Kleber, Kyrie Irving)
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Jump ball. (Tim Hardaway Jr. gains possession)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kevin Love, Patty Mills, Haywood Highsmith)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
26-21
Dante Exum defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
23-21
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
20-21
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Tim Hardaway Jr., Maxi Kleber, Kyrie Irving)
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Haywood Highsmith)
Heat defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
20-18
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
17-17
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)
Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Tim Hardaway Jr., Maxi Kleber, Luka Doncic)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-18
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Kyrie Irving defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
17-16
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
14-16
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
14-13
Heat turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, P.J. Washington, Maxi Kleber, Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Maxi Kleber blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
12-13
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Maxi Kleber, Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point tip layup
12-13
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses two point driving layup
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
10-11
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
8-11
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Kyrie Irving defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point putback layup
8-8
Luka Doncic offensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
6-8
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
6-6
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
3-6
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
3-4
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
0-4
Mavericks turnover
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
0-1
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
0-2
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Derrick Jones Jr., Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic)
(Derrick Jones Jr. gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 8 | J. Green | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| F | 42 | M. Kleber | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| G | 77 | L. Doncic | 19 | 5 | 6 |
| G | 11 | K. Irving | 21 | 3 | 1 |
| F | 25 | P. Washington | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 22 | J. Butler | 8 | 2 | 4 |
| G | 16 | C. Martin | 12 | 3 | 5 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| F | 5 | N. Jovic | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| G | 14 | T. Herro | 10 | 5 | 1 |
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Mavericks vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Heat
- Date: Wednesday, April 10, 2024
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Mavericks favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 216.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks -138, Heat +120
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 56%
- Heat: 44%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 110-108 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 56%, while the Heat have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mavericks are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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