Warriors vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Heat NBA game on March 26, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
113
92
Mar 26, 11:30PM Kaseya Center
Mar 26, 11:30PM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 24 | 29 | 32 | 28 | 113 |
Heat | 26 | 29 | 20 | 17 | 92 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 24 | 29 | 32 | 28 | 113 |
Heat | 26 | 29 | 20 | 17 | 92 |
Q4 00:23 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:38 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:55 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:41 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:01 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:24 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:32 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Heat turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
112-92
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
110-91
Warriors personal foul
+1
Alondes Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
110-92
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
110-89
Warriors turnover
Orlando Robinson offensive rebound
Orlando Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Gary Payton II steals)
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
108-89
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Jerome Robinson, Lester Quinones, Gary Payton II, Gui Santos)
Heat lineup change (Alondes Williams, Orlando Robinson, Cole Swider, Jamal Cain, Delon Wright)
Chris Paul defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Klay Thompson offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
105-89
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
105-87
Warriors 60 second timeout
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
105-85
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
102-85
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
100-85
Heat 60 second timeout
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
98-85
Warriors personal foul
Nikola Jovic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-85
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry)
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
96-83
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-84
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
96-82
Heat personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith)
Heat personal foul
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
94-82
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
91-82
Heat violation
Warriors personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-82
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Jonathan Kuminga, Kevon Looney, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
89-81
Chris Paul defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Delon Wright defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
87-81
Delon Wright defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
87-79
Heat misses two point jump shot
Delon Wright offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Heat turnover
Heat misses two point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-77
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-77
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
85-77
Heat misses two point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green)
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Delon Wright)
Klay Thompson misses two point driving floating jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Jonathan Kuminga, Klay Thompson, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith)
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
85-75
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
83-74
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Delon Wright)
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Jonathan Kuminga, Kevon Looney, Klay Thompson, Stephen Curry)
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-75
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
83-73
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Delon Wright)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
83-70
Heat turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
80-70
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Chris Paul defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, Kevon Looney, Klay Thompson)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Heat personal foul
Kevon Looney misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Kevon Looney makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-70
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Brandin Podziemski, Kevon Looney, Klay Thompson, Gary Payton II)
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Thomas Bryant, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith)
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
77-70
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kevon Looney offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Kevon Looney, Gary Payton II, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry)
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
75-70
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
75-69
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
73-69
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry)
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-66
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-67
Warriors lineup change (Klay Thompson, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
73-65
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
70-65
Warriors personal foul
Warriors personal foul
Jonathan Kuminga turnover (offensive foul)
Heat turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
70-63
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
68-63
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
68-61
Heat personal foul
Jonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
66-61
Heat personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-59
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-59
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
64-59
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
62-59
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
62-57
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
60-57
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
58-57
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
56-57
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
56-55
End of 1st Half.
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry)
Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier)
Nikola Jovic misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
53-55
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
51-55
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
51-53
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
48-53
Heat turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
48-51
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
48-49
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry)
Warriors personal foul
Moses Moody turnover (offensive foul)
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry)
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
46-49
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith)
Heat turnover
Heat offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
46-47
Warriors personal foul
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
46-45
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
44-45
Heat turnover
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
41-45
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
41-43
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-40
Moses Moody misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-40
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-38
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry)
Warriors personal foul
Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith)
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith, Delon Wright)
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry)
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-36
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
40-34
Heat turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
38-34
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
36-34
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
36-31
Warriors violation
Heat turnover
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
34-31
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
31-31
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
31-29
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
28-29
Jaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
26-29
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
26-26
End of 1st Quarter.
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Haywood Highsmith, Delon Wright)
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
25-26
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
25-23
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
22-23
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
22-20
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-20
Warriors turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-19
Warriors 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Delon Wright)
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, Kevon Looney, Klay Thompson)
Warriors turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-17
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, Kevon Looney, Gary Payton II)
Warriors personal foul
Chris Paul turnover (offensive foul)
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Brandin Podziemski, Kevon Looney, Gary Payton II, Andrew Wiggins)
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-15
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
20-13
Heat violation
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Kevon Looney, Gary Payton II, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry)
Warriors turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
18-13
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
18-11
Heat violation
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry)
Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
15-11
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
15-8
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
13-8
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
13-6
Heat 60 second timeout
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
11-6
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
9-6
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
7-6
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Instant replay
Warriors personal foul
Warriors turnover
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Stephen Curry offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
5-6
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
5-3
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
3-3
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
0-3
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry)
Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier)
(Terry Rozier gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 18 | J. Robinson | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 4 | M. Moody | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| G | 0 | G. Payton II | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 15 | G. Santos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 25 | L. Quinones | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 21 | C. Swider | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 8 | J. Cain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 15 | A. Williams | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C | 25 | O. Robinson | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 4 | D. Wright | 0 | 3 | 3 |
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Warriors vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Warriors vs. Heat
- Date: Tuesday, March 26, 2024
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -5
- Total (Over/Under): 217.5
- Moneyline Odds: Warriors -196, Heat +170
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Warriors: 68%
- Heat: 32%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 111-106 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 68%, while the Heat have a win probability of 32%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Warriors vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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