Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM Liga MX game on August 18, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
1
:
1
Aug 19, 3AM Estadio Olímpico de Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
Pumas UNAM
Aug 19, 3AM Estadio Olímpico de Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
C. S. Huerta Valera (24')
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco (15')
J. Pinuelas (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
UNAM
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
S. Trigos (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
J. Caicedo (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
J. Pinuelas (Toluca) cautioned
90'
Red Card
J. Pinuelas (Toluca) sent off for a second yellow card
90'
Yellow Card
C. Gutierrez (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: C. Gutierrez replaces G. Fernandez
81'
Yellow Card
C. S. Huerta Valera (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
81'
Yellow Card
T. Belmonte (Toluca) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Pinuelas replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: T. Belmonte replaces C. Baeza
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces R. Morales
76'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: S. Trigos replaces U. Rivas
70'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: R. Ergas replaces A. Aldrete
70'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: J. Dinenno replaces G. Del Prete
70'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: P. Bennevendo replaces P. Monroy
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Isais replaces E. I. Lopez Rodriguez
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: Pedro Raul replaces J. Meneses
38'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
24'
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by C. S. Huerta Valera, assisted by G. Del Prete
1-1
15'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. P. Dominguez Chonteco, assisted by M. Ruiz
1-0

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Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM
  • Date: Friday, August 18, 2023
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Olímpico de Universitario

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +150, Pumas UNAM +160, Draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-166/+125)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 42.5%
  • Pumas UNAM: 34.3%
  • Draw: 23.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Pumas UNAM, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Pumas UNAM a win probability of 34.3%, while Toluca has a win probability of 42.5%. The chance of a draw is 23.2%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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