Aston Villa vs. Brighton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Brighton Premier League game on September 30, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Brighton
1
6
Sep 30, 11:30AM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
Sep 30, 11:30AM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
BrightonBHA
O. Watkins (14')
O. Watkins (21')
P. Estupinan (o.g.) (26')
O. Watkins (65')
J. Ramsey (85')
Douglas Luiz (90')
A. Fati (50')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
BHA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Y. Tielemans replaces B. Kamara
90'
Yellow Card
J. Duran (Aston Villa) cautioned
90'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by Douglas Luiz
1-6
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: C. Baleba replaces J. Hinshelwood
85'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by J. Ramsey, assisted by O. Watkins
1-5
84'
Yellow Card
K. Mitoma (Brighton) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Duran replaces M. Diaby
79'
Yellow Card
L. Dunk (Brighton) cautioned
72'
Yellow Card
A. Fati (Brighton) cautioned
65'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by J. McGinn
1-4
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: S. Adingra replaces S. March
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Ramsey replaces N. Zaniolo
57'
Yellow Card
E. Konsa (Aston Villa) cautioned
50'
Goal scored for Brighton by A. Fati, assisted by Joao Pedro
1-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: Joao Pedro replaces D. Welbeck
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: A. Fati replaces E. Ferguson
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: T. Lamptey replaces P. Estupinan
39'
Yellow Card
D. Welbeck (Brighton) cautioned
32'
Yellow Card
L. Digne (Aston Villa) cautioned
26'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by P. Estupinan (o.g.), assisted by M. Diaby
0-3
21'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by M. Diaby
0-2
14'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by M. Cash
0-1
7'
Yellow Card
Douglas Luiz (Aston Villa) cautioned

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Aston Villa vs. Brighton: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Brighton
  • Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa +160, Brighton +170, Draw +270

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 42.2%
  • Brighton: 33.9%
  • Draw: 23.8%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 1-1 Brighton, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 42.2%, while Brighton has a win probability of 33.9%. The chance of a draw is 23.8%.

Summary

Our Aston Villa vs. Brighton predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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